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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
TS icon
1001
Tenaris
TS
$27.4B
– –
-28,400
Closed -$903K
TTC icon
1002
Toro Company
TTC
$9.47B
– –
-2,500
Closed -$217K
TTD icon
1003
Trade Desk
TTD
$6.31B
– –
-21,912
Closed -$2.4M
TTMI icon
1004
TTM Technologies
TTMI
$13.1B
– –
-14,461
Closed -$264K
TVTX icon
1005
Travere Therapeutics
TVTX
$6.36B
– –
-28,415
Closed -$398K
TXT icon
1006
Textron
TXT
$14.2B
– –
-24,812
Closed -$2.2M
UA icon
1007
Under Armour Class C
UA
$2.13B
– –
-52,400
Closed -$438K
UAA icon
1008
Under Armour
UAA
$2.18B
– –
-112,300
Closed -$1M
UAL icon
1009
United Airlines
UAL
$36.5B
– –
-47,554
Closed -$2.71M
UBER icon
1010
Uber
UBER
$157B
– –
-23,100
Closed -$1.74M
UCTT
1011
Ultra Clean Holdings
UCTT
$3.38B
– –
-6,583
Closed -$263K
URGN icon
1012
UroGen Pharma
URGN
$2.22B
– –
-13,993
Closed -$178K
USB icon
1013
US Bancorp
USB
$97.2B
– –
-36,900
Closed -$1.69M
VERA icon
1014
Vera Therapeutics
VERA
$2.49B
– –
-11,722
Closed -$518K
VERX icon
1015
Vertex
VERX
$2.32B
– –
-13,500
Closed -$520K
VIAV icon
1016
Viavi Solutions
VIAV
$9.49B
– –
-16,906
Closed -$152K
VITL icon
1017
Vital Farms
VITL
$448M
– –
-9,200
Closed -$323K
VKTX icon
1018
Viking Therapeutics
VKTX
$3.95B
– –
-4,200
Closed -$266K
VMC icon
1019
Vulcan Materials
VMC
$35.5B
– –
-2,046
Closed -$512K
VMEO
1020
DELISTED
Vimeo
VMEO
– –
-13,679
Closed -$69.1K
VRNS icon
1021
Varonis Systems
VRNS
$5.14B
– –
-36,400
Closed -$2.06M
VSAT icon
1022
Viasat
VSAT
$10B
– –
-24,134
Closed -$288K
VTEX icon
1023
VTEX
VTEX
$584M
– –
-21,662
Closed -$161K
WAL icon
1024
Western Alliance Bancorporation
WAL
$8.59B
– –
-3,434
Closed -$297K
WDAY icon
1025
Workday
WDAY
$47.8B
– –
-1,701
Closed -$416K
39 40
41
42 43

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AFW
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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.