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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SNPS icon
976
Synopsys
SNPS
$89B
– –
-1,425
Closed -$722K
SNV
977
DELISTED
Synovus
SNV
– –
-17,067
Closed -$759K
SNX icon
978
TD Synnex
SNX
$20.8B
– –
-17,448
Closed -$2.1M
SOFI icon
979
SoFi Technologies
SOFI
$24.8B
– –
-221,202
Closed -$1.74M
SPG icon
980
Simon Property Group
SPG
$69.5B
– –
-1,585
Closed -$268K
SPIR icon
981
Spire Global
SPIR
$569M
– –
-11,200
Closed -$112K
SSNC icon
982
SS&C Technologies
SSNC
$19.6B
– –
-4,830
Closed -$358K
STT icon
983
State Street
STT
$53.1B
– –
-8,276
Closed -$732K
STZ icon
984
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.4B
– –
-976
Closed -$252K
SWK icon
985
Stanley Black & Decker
SWK
$15B
– –
-21,852
Closed -$2.41M
SWKS icon
986
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
$10.1B
– –
-18,192
Closed -$1.8M
SWTX
987
DELISTED
SpringWorks Therapeutics
SWTX
– –
-19,414
Closed -$622K
SYK icon
988
Stryker
SYK
$124B
– –
-9,503
Closed -$3.43M
TAP icon
989
Molson Coors Class B
TAP
$7.77B
– –
-26,200
Closed -$1.51M
TBLA icon
990
Taboola.com
TBLA
$1.02B
– –
-16,300
Closed -$54.8K
TCOM icon
991
Trip.com Group
TCOM
$28.1B
– –
-36,228
Closed -$2.15M
TDY icon
992
Teledyne Technologies
TDY
$29B
– –
-5,500
Closed -$2.41M
TFII icon
993
TFI International
TFII
$11.2B
– –
-2,195
Closed -$300K
THG icon
994
Hanover Insurance
THG
$7.93B
– –
-2,315
Closed -$343K
THO icon
995
Thor Industries
THO
$3.97B
– –
-1,847
Closed -$203K
TMO icon
996
Thermo Fisher Scientific
TMO
$233B
– –
-1,000
Closed -$619K
TNDM icon
997
Tandem Diabetes Care
TNDM
$1.49B
– –
-12,062
Closed -$512K
TPR icon
998
Tapestry
TPR
$24.6B
– –
-26,592
Closed -$1.25M
TRP icon
999
TC Energy
TRP
$64.6B
– –
-19,700
Closed -$937K
TRV icon
1000
Travelers Companies
TRV
$77B
– –
-5,931
Closed -$1.39M
38 39
40
41 42

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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.