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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M Turnover 90.24%
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413
Avg Time Held
0.2 years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0 years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0 years

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.91%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow Held Since
APH icon
76
Amphenol
APH
$196B
$3.03M 0.37%
+87,200
New +$3.05M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
SNAP icon
77
Snap
SNAP
$10.4B
$3.01M 0.37%
+279,400
New +$3.15M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
UNH icon
78
UnitedHealth
UNH
$360B
$2.89M 0.35%
+5,707
New +$3.24M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
LHX icon
79
L3Harris
LHX
$46.3B
$2.88M 0.35%
13,684
+3,100
+29% +$743K
2024 Q2
2 quarters
CVNA icon
80
Carvana
CVNA
$64.7B
$2.87M 0.35%
+70,555
New +$3.17M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
GTLS icon
81
DELISTED
Chart Industries
GTLS
$2.82M 0.35%
14,772
+9,200
+165% +$1.48M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
ACN icon
82
Accenture
ACN
$141B
$2.81M 0.34%
+8,000
New +$2.88M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
ZBH icon
83
Zimmer Biomet
ZBH
$18.1B
$2.81M 0.34%
26,607
+22,900
+618% +$2.46M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
GM icon
84
General Motors
GM
$73.7B
$2.78M 0.34%
52,200
-24,058
-32% -$1.26M
2023 Q4
4 quarters
BF.B icon
85
Brown-Forman Class B
BF.B
$13.3B
$2.76M 0.34%
+72,600
New +$3.19M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
BBWI icon
86
Bath & Body Works
BBWI
$4.06B
$2.72M 0.33%
+70,179
New +$2.35M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
AKAM icon
87
Akamai
AKAM
$12.6B
$2.7M 0.33%
28,258
+17,207
+156% +$1.69M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
SHEL icon
88
Shell
SHEL
$303B
$2.63M 0.32%
42,000
+29,800
+244% +$1.95M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
HES icon
89
DELISTED
Hess
HES
$2.58M 0.32%
19,400
-25,600
-57% -$3.57M
2024 Q1
3 quarters
SKX icon
90
DELISTED
Skechers
SKX
$2.54M 0.31%
+37,800
New +$2.45M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
NU icon
91
Nu Holdings
NU
$70.3B
$2.52M 0.31%
+243,000
New +$3.23M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
DD icon
92
DuPont de Nemours
DD
$17.6B
$2.51M 0.31%
26,276
+5,019
+24% +$522K
2024 Q3
1 quarter
P icon
93
Everpure Inc
P
$41.3B
$2.5M 0.31%
+40,700
New +$2.27M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
EXPD icon
94
Expeditors International
EXPD
$25.5B
$2.48M 0.3%
+22,427
New +$2.68M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
AMAT icon
95
Applied Materials
AMAT
$325B
$2.47M 0.3%
+15,200
New +$2.75M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CVE icon
96
Cenovus Energy
CVE
$60.7B
$2.47M 0.3%
163,000
+90,700
+125% +$1.46M
2024 Q1
3 quarters
TT icon
97
Trane Technologies
TT
$101B
$2.44M 0.3%
6,600
+1,068
+19% +$424K
2024 Q3
1 quarter
LEA icon
98
Lear
LEA
$5.92B
$2.41M 0.29%
25,427
+7,100
+39% +$707K
2024 Q3
1 quarter
CTSH icon
99
Cognizant
CTSH
$29.7B
$2.36M 0.29%
+30,700
New +$2.4M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
ENB icon
100
Enbridge
ENB
$107B
$2.32M 0.28%
+54,700
New +$2.29M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
2 3
4
5 6

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.