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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76
Starbucks
SBUX
$122B
| $3M | 0.32% |
+31,243
| New | +$3.04M |
|
77
Rivian
RIVN
$24.3B
| $2.98M | 0.32% |
127,022
-185,178
| -59% | -$3.48M |
|
78
Coca-Cola
KO
$383B
| $2.95M | 0.31% |
50,100
+18,400
| +58% | +$1.05M |
|
79
Chevron
CVX
$392B
| $2.94M | 0.31% |
19,696
-27,600
| -58% | -$4.17M |
|
80
Zebra Technologies
ZBRA
$17.1B
| $2.93M | 0.31% |
+10,727
| New | +$2.45M |
|
81
Arch Capital
ACGL
$33.7B
| $2.93M | 0.31% |
39,474
-11,300
| -22% | -$923K |
|
82
GitLab
GTLB
$7.57B
| $2.93M | 0.31% |
+46,530
| New | +$2.35M |
|
83
T-Mobile US
TMUS
$191B
| $2.91M | 0.31% |
18,139
+12,400
| +216% | +$1.83M |
|
84
Norwegian Cruise Line
NCLH
$7.65B
| $2.89M | 0.31% |
+144,100
| New | +$2.31M |
|
85
HDFC Bank
HDB
$115B
| $2.89M | 0.31% |
86,012
+5,400
| +7% | +$163K |
|
86
American Water Works
AWK
$27.2B
| $2.88M | 0.31% |
21,800
+15,800
| +263% | +$1.99M |
|
|
87
Walt Disney
DIS
$184B
| $2.87M | 0.3% |
31,787
-130,900
| -80% | -$11.5M |
|
88
Dollar Tree
DLTR
$24.4B
| $2.76M | 0.29% |
+19,408
| New | +$2.3M |
|
89
Medtronic
MDT
$115B
| $2.74M | 0.29% |
33,278
-69,100
| -67% | -$5.27M |
|
90
Smith & Nephew
SNN
$12.2B
| $2.65M | 0.28% |
97,000
+49,200
| +103% | +$1.22M |
|
91
Bank of America
BAC
$428B
| $2.63M | 0.28% |
78,182
-131,118
| -63% | -$3.82M |
|
92
Boston Scientific
BSX
$67.6B
| $2.62M | 0.28% |
45,400
+22,000
| +94% | +$1.17M |
|
|
GTM
93
ZoomInfo Technologies
GTM
$1.19B
| $2.6M | 0.28% |
140,600
+76,600
| +120% | +$1.2M |
|
94
Qorvo
QRVO
$8.49B
| $2.59M | 0.27% |
22,959
+7,300
| +47% | +$705K |
|
95
Netflix
NFLX
$332B
| $2.58M | 0.27% |
+53,000
| New | +$2.31M |
|
96
Stanley Black & Decker
SWK
$15B
| $2.55M | 0.27% |
+26,000
| New | +$2.29M |
|
97
Floor & Decor
FND
$5.68B
| $2.55M | 0.27% |
+22,842
| New | +$2.1M |
|
98
Western Digital
WDC
$167B
| $2.55M | 0.27% |
+64,298
| New | +$2.25M |
|
99
Applied Materials
AMAT
$383B
| $2.51M | 0.27% |
+15,500
| New | +$2.28M |
|
100
BHP
BHP
$245B
| $2.5M | 0.27% |
36,640
+19,378
| +112% | +$1.17M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.