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Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
POWL icon
926
Powell Industries
POWL
$7.02B
– –
-19,839
Closed -$1.47M
PR
927
Permian Resources
PR
$19.4B
– –
-32,800
Closed -$446K
PRM icon
928
Perimeter Solutions
PRM
$5.24B
– –
-12,100
Closed -$163K
PRU icon
929
Prudential Financial
PRU
$41.5B
– –
-3,700
Closed -$448K
PSMT icon
930
Pricesmart
PSMT
$5.34B
– –
-2,405
Closed -$221K
PWR icon
931
Quanta Services
PWR
$93.5B
– –
-3,569
Closed -$1.06M
PYPL icon
932
PayPal
PYPL
$52.6B
– –
-106,854
Closed -$8.34M
PZZA icon
933
Papa John's
PZZA
$765M
– –
-9,700
Closed -$523K
QQQ icon
934
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$493B
– –
-6,529
Closed -$3.19M
QRVO icon
935
Qorvo
QRVO
$8.49B
– –
-21,809
Closed -$2.25M
QSR icon
936
Restaurant Brands International
QSR
$27.2B
– –
-7,500
Closed -$541K
RACE icon
937
Ferrari
RACE
$72.8B
– –
-4,323
Closed -$2.03M
RCL icon
938
Royal Caribbean
RCL
$76.2B
– –
-2,100
Closed -$372K
REKR icon
939
Rekor Systems
REKR
$79M
– –
-17,600
Closed -$20.8K
RELY icon
940
Remitly
RELY
$5.5B
– –
-70,700
Closed -$947K
REPL icon
941
Replimune Group
REPL
$1.47B
– –
-23,975
Closed -$263K
RIOT icon
942
Riot Platforms
RIOT
$7.84B
– –
-101,100
Closed -$750K
RJF icon
943
Raymond James Financial
RJF
$33.9B
– –
-8,300
Closed -$1.02M
RKLB icon
944
Rocket Lab Corp
RKLB
$43.2B
– –
-60,000
Closed -$584K
RNAM
945
DELISTED
Avidity Biosciences
RNAM
– –
-38,000
Closed -$1.75M
RNW icon
946
ReNew
RNW
$2.49B
– –
-11,300
Closed -$71.1K
ROIV icon
947
Roivant Sciences
ROIV
$27.1B
– –
-48,800
Closed -$563K
RPAY icon
948
Repay Holdings
RPAY
$313M
– –
-18,313
Closed -$149K
RPD icon
949
Rapid7
RPD
$910M
– –
-7,895
Closed -$315K
RRX icon
950
Regal Rexnord
RRX
$10.9B
– –
-2,622
Closed -$435K
36 37
38
39 40

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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.