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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
926
Maximus
MMS
$3.12B
| – | – |
-5,768
| Closed | -$431K |
|
927
Merit Medical Systems
MMSI
$5.35B
| – | – |
-3,421
| Closed | -$236K |
|
928
Altria Group
MO
$113B
| – | – |
-15,700
| Closed | -$660K |
|
929
Molina Healthcare
MOH
$10.4B
| – | – |
-3,400
| Closed | -$1.11M |
|
930
MP Materials
MP
$10.5B
| – | – |
-25,589
| Closed | -$489K |
|
931
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$102B
| – | – |
-60,100
| Closed | -$9.1M |
|
932
Marvell Technology
MRVL
$217B
| – | – |
-53,100
| Closed | -$2.87M |
|
933
Morgan Stanley
MS
$337B
| – | – |
-106,000
| Closed | -$8.66M |
|
934
Motorola Solutions
MSI
$80.5B
| – | – |
-1,891
| Closed | -$515K |
|
935
Vail Resorts
MTN
$5.15B
| – | – |
-5,708
| Closed | -$1.27M |
|
936
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial
MUFG
$253B
| – | – |
-10,000
| Closed | -$84.9K |
|
937
Microvision
MVIS
$57.5M
| – | – |
-1,327
| Closed | -$43.6K |
|
938
Navient
NAVI
$873M
| – | – |
-32,614
| Closed | -$562K |
|
939
nCino
NCNO
$2.47B
| – | – |
-17,382
| Closed | -$553K |
|
940
New Jersey Resources
NJR
$5.46B
| – | – |
-7,381
| Closed | -$300K |
|
|
941
Nike
NKE
$57B
| – | – |
-101,816
| Closed | -$9.74M |
|
942
Nano X Imaging
NNOX
$66.2M
| – | – |
-19,596
| Closed | -$129K |
|
943
Nerdy
NRDY
$88M
| – | – |
-2,935
| Closed | -$163K |
|
944
Energy Vault
NRGV
$682M
| – | – |
-18,500
| Closed | -$47.2K |
|
945
Norfolk Southern
NSC
$78.1B
| – | – |
-3,026
| Closed | -$596K |
|
946
Nutanix
NTNX
$18.9B
| – | – |
-68,387
| Closed | -$2.39M |
|
947
Nu Holdings
NU
$71.9B
| – | – |
-12,300
| Closed | -$89.2K |
|
948
Novavax
NVAX
$1.49B
| – | – |
-83,300
| Closed | -$603K |
|
949
NovoCure
NVCR
$2.09B
| – | – |
-39,716
| Closed | -$641K |
|
950
nVent Electric
NVT
$25.2B
| – | – |
-6,800
| Closed | -$360K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.