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Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
OSUR icon
901
OraSure Technologies
OSUR
$254M
– –
-10,400
Closed -$44.4K
OTEX icon
902
Open Text
OTEX
$6.1B
– –
-24,700
Closed -$822K
OUT icon
903
Outfront Media
OUT
$5.3B
– –
-33,629
Closed -$608K
OVV icon
904
Ovintiv
OVV
$18B
– –
-69,672
Closed -$2.67M
PACB icon
905
Pacific Biosciences
PACB
$482M
– –
-213,900
Closed -$364K
PAGS icon
906
PagSeguro Digital
PAGS
$2.46B
– –
-65,328
Closed -$562K
PANW icon
907
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
$312B
– –
-27,000
Closed -$4.61M
PBH icon
908
Prestige Consumer Healthcare
PBH
$2.43B
– –
-3,011
Closed -$217K
PCG icon
909
PG&E
PCG
$39.5B
– –
-32,709
Closed -$647K
PCRX icon
910
Pacira BioSciences
PCRX
$1.03B
– –
-27,080
Closed -$408K
PCT icon
911
PureCycle Technologies
PCT
$1.34B
– –
-14,315
Closed -$136K
PECO icon
912
Phillips Edison & Co
PECO
$5.05B
– –
-11,600
Closed -$437K
PEGA icon
913
Pegasystems
PEGA
$5.9B
– –
-34,682
Closed -$1.27M
PEP icon
914
PepsiCo
PEP
$191B
– –
-25,500
Closed -$4.34M
PG icon
915
Procter & Gamble
PG
$333B
– –
-10,800
Closed -$1.87M
PH icon
916
Parker-Hannifin
PH
$127B
– –
-5,300
Closed -$3.35M
PI icon
917
Impinj
PI
$5.14B
– –
-1,630
Closed -$353K
PINC
918
DELISTED
Premier
PINC
– –
-26,308
Closed -$526K
PIPR icon
919
Piper Sandler
PIPR
$5.27B
– –
-4,128
Closed -$293K
PKG icon
920
Packaging Corp of America
PKG
$21.7B
– –
-1,501
Closed -$323K
PLAY icon
921
Dave & Buster's
PLAY
$319M
– –
-34,600
Closed -$1.18M
PLD icon
922
Prologis
PLD
$135B
– –
-30,227
Closed -$3.82M
PLTR icon
923
Palantir
PLTR
$447B
– –
-73,600
Closed -$2.74M
PNW icon
924
Pinnacle West Capital
PNW
$11.9B
– –
-14,844
Closed -$1.32M
POST icon
925
Post Holdings
POST
$3.69B
– –
-5,664
Closed -$656K
35 36
37
38 39

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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.