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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
901
Kohl's
KSS
$2.06B
| – | – |
-68,588
| Closed | -$1.44M |
|
902
Kura Oncology
KURA
$1.17B
| – | – |
-14,026
| Closed | -$128K |
|
|
KW
903
DELISTED
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings
KW
| – | – |
-16,441
| Closed | -$242K |
|
904
Lucid Motors
LCID
$2.01B
| – | – |
-29,455
| Closed | -$1.65M |
|
905
Levi Strauss
LEVI
$8.1B
| – | – |
-32,000
| Closed | -$435K |
|
906
L3Harris
LHX
$48.8B
| – | – |
-10,000
| Closed | -$1.74M |
|
907
Lumentum
LITE
$85.8B
| – | – |
-28,597
| Closed | -$1.29M |
|
908
Lockheed Martin
LMT
$131B
| – | – |
-2,000
| Closed | -$818K |
|
909
Lincoln National
LNC
$8.33B
| – | – |
-23,651
| Closed | -$584K |
|
910
Alliant Energy
LNT
$17.7B
| – | – |
-31,367
| Closed | -$1.52M |
|
911
LivePerson
LPSN
$34.4M
| – | – |
-1,490
| Closed | -$87K |
|
912
Lam Research
LRCX
$399B
| – | – |
-91,910
| Closed | -$5.76M |
|
913
Stride
LRN
$3.55B
| – | – |
-16,107
| Closed | -$725K |
|
914
lululemon athletica
LULU
$13.1B
| – | – |
-12,400
| Closed | -$4.78M |
|
915
Lamb Weston
LW
$7.53B
| – | – |
-13,848
| Closed | -$1.28M |
|
916
LegalZoom.com
LZ
$1.04B
| – | – |
-11,743
| Closed | -$128K |
|
917
Macy's
M
$5.92B
| – | – |
-74,800
| Closed | -$868K |
|
918
Manhattan Associates
MANH
$13B
| – | – |
-3,220
| Closed | -$636K |
|
919
Marathon Digital Holdings
MARA
$4.59B
| – | – |
-180,382
| Closed | -$1.53M |
|
|
MAXN
920
DELISTED
Maxeon Solar Technologies
MAXN
| – | – |
-223
| Closed | -$258K |
|
921
McKesson
MCK
$104B
| – | – |
-2,230
| Closed | -$970K |
|
922
MongoDB
MDB
$35.4B
| – | – |
-5,651
| Closed | -$1.95M |
|
923
Mitek Systems
MITK
$867M
| – | – |
-10,483
| Closed | -$112K |
|
924
MKS Inc
MKSI
$18.3B
| – | – |
-2,437
| Closed | -$211K |
|
925
MillerKnoll
MLKN
$1.6B
| – | – |
-11,295
| Closed | -$276K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.