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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
MTB icon
876
M&T Bank
MTB
$34.5B
– –
-4,050
Closed -$721K
MTN icon
877
Vail Resorts
MTN
$5.15B
– –
-10,413
Closed -$1.81M
MU icon
878
Micron Technology
MU
$1.06T
– –
-30,500
Closed -$3.16M
MVIS icon
879
Microvision
MVIS
$57.5M
– –
-3,673
Closed -$62.8K
NCLH icon
880
Norwegian Cruise Line
NCLH
$7.65B
– –
-146,800
Closed -$3.01M
NDSN icon
881
Nordson
NDSN
$18.4B
– –
-7,090
Closed -$1.86M
NET icon
882
Cloudflare
NET
$110B
– –
-35,184
Closed -$2.85M
NFG icon
883
National Fuel Gas
NFG
$7.88B
– –
-5,900
Closed -$358K
NFLX icon
884
Netflix
NFLX
$332B
– –
-253,000
Closed -$17.9M
NGD
885
DELISTED
New Gold Inc
NGD
– –
-14,120
Closed -$40.7K
NMR icon
886
Nomura Holdings
NMR
$29.6B
– –
-19,177
Closed -$100K
NTCT icon
887
NETSCOUT
NTCT
$2.87B
– –
-23,236
Closed -$505K
NTNX icon
888
Nutanix
NTNX
$18.9B
– –
-46,800
Closed -$2.77M
NTRS icon
889
Northern Trust
NTRS
$34.1B
– –
-6,655
Closed -$599K
NUE icon
890
Nucor
NUE
$57.3B
– –
-4,572
Closed -$687K
NWS icon
891
News Corp Class B
NWS
$19B
– –
-7,500
Closed -$210K
NWSA icon
892
News Corp Class A
NWSA
$16.8B
– –
-41,500
Closed -$1.11M
NX icon
893
Quanex
NX
$904M
– –
-17,646
Closed -$490K
NXE icon
894
NexGen Energy
NXE
$7.5B
– –
-78,701
Closed -$514K
NXPI icon
895
NXP Semiconductors
NXPI
$57B
– –
-4,700
Closed -$1.13M
OGN icon
896
Organon & Co
OGN
$3.61B
– –
-11,200
Closed -$214K
OHI icon
897
Omega Healthcare
OHI
$14B
– –
-5,593
Closed -$228K
ON icon
898
ON Semiconductor
ON
$29.1B
– –
-57,000
Closed -$4.14M
ORCL icon
899
Oracle
ORCL
$438B
– –
-39,600
Closed -$6.75M
OSCR icon
900
Oscar Health
OSCR
$9.27B
– –
-55,316
Closed -$1.17M
34 35
36
37 38

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AFW
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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.