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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
KVYO icon
851
Klaviyo
KVYO
$5.58B
– –
-13,600
Closed -$481K
KYMR icon
852
Kymera Therapeutics
KYMR
$10B
– –
-9,400
Closed -$445K
LAZ icon
853
Lazard
LAZ
$4.21B
– –
-10,114
Closed -$510K
LCID icon
854
Lucid Motors
LCID
$2.01B
– –
-6,330
Closed -$223K
LEVI icon
855
Levi Strauss
LEVI
$8.1B
– –
-64,615
Closed -$1.41M
LI icon
856
Li Auto
LI
$11.9B
– –
-24,900
Closed -$639K
LIN icon
857
Linde
LIN
$224B
– –
-3,614
Closed -$1.72M
LLY icon
858
Eli Lilly
LLY
$1.05T
– –
-1,220
Closed -$1.08M
LNN icon
859
Lindsay Corp
LNN
$1.16B
– –
-2,171
Closed -$271K
LUV icon
860
Southwest Airlines
LUV
$19.5B
– –
-177,500
Closed -$5.26M
LW icon
861
Lamb Weston
LW
$7.53B
– –
-107,100
Closed -$6.93M
MANH icon
862
Manhattan Associates
MANH
$13B
– –
-9,818
Closed -$2.76M
MAS icon
863
Masco
MAS
$14.4B
– –
-3,800
Closed -$319K
MAT icon
864
Mattel
MAT
$4.26B
– –
-31,400
Closed -$598K
MCRB icon
865
Seres Therapeutics
MCRB
$49.7M
– –
-1,550
Closed -$29.3K
MDT icon
866
Medtronic
MDT
$115B
– –
-93,200
Closed -$8.39M
ONT
867
Onterris Inc
ONT
$574M
– –
-9,225
Closed -$243K
MFC icon
868
Manulife Financial
MFC
$71.6B
– –
-16,067
Closed -$475K
MKTX icon
869
MarketAxess Holdings
MKTX
$5.72B
– –
-7,100
Closed -$1.82M
MNRO icon
870
Monro
MNRO
$383M
– –
-7,900
Closed -$228K
MPWR icon
871
Monolithic Power Systems
MPWR
$64.4B
– –
-2,043
Closed -$1.89M
MRNA icon
872
Moderna
MRNA
$57B
– –
-5,900
Closed -$394K
MSCI icon
873
MSCI
MSCI
$41.4B
– –
-1,793
Closed -$1.05M
MSGS icon
874
Madison Square Garden
MSGS
$9.48B
– –
-1,404
Closed -$292K
MTCH icon
875
Match Group
MTCH
$9.46B
– –
-47,200
Closed -$1.79M
33 34
35
36 37

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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.