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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M Turnover 90.24%
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413
Avg Time Held
0.2 years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0 years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0 years

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.91%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow Held Since
CNC icon
51
Centene
CNC
$34.2B
$3.68M 0.45%
+60,700
New +$3.79M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
EA icon
52
DELISTED
Electronic Arts
EA
$3.66M 0.45%
+25,000
New +$3.85M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
BDX icon
53
Becton Dickinson
BDX
$52.2B
$3.65M 0.45%
+16,073
New +$3.71M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
SCHW icon
54
Charles Schwab
SCHW
$159B
$3.62M 0.44%
48,900
-52,200
-52% -$3.91M
2023 Q4
4 quarters
BROS icon
55
Dutch Bros
BROS
$5.68B
$3.53M 0.43%
+67,301
New +$2.97M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
DECK icon
56
Deckers Outdoor
DECK
$11.7B
$3.52M 0.43%
17,354
-11,800
-40% -$2.13M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
AEM icon
57
Agnico Eagle Mines
AEM
$96B
$3.51M 0.43%
44,900
+37,474
+505% +$3.09M
2023 Q4
4 quarters
MS icon
58
Morgan Stanley
MS
$284B
$3.5M 0.43%
+27,800
New +$3.42M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CNM icon
59
Core & Main
CNM
$7.74B
$3.47M 0.43%
+68,256
New +$3.22M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
WST icon
60
West Pharmaceutical
WST
$27B
$3.44M 0.42%
+10,500
New +$3.3M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
EXE icon
61
Expand Energy Corp
EXE
$21.6B
$3.4M 0.42%
34,129
+31,429
+1,164% +$2.9M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
TXN icon
62
Texas Instruments
TXN
$252B
$3.39M 0.42%
18,100
-21,700
-55% -$4.34M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
CRL icon
63
Charles River Laboratories
CRL
$14.3B
$3.32M 0.41%
+17,965
New +$3.46M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CAG icon
64
Conagra Brands
CAG
$6.91B
$3.26M 0.4%
117,400
+10,900
+10% +$309K
2024 Q3
1 quarter
CTVA icon
65
Corteva
CTVA
$8.59B
$3.25M 0.4%
57,014
+45,800
+408% +$2.71M
2023 Q4
4 quarters
TECK icon
66
Teck Resources
TECK
$31.7B
$3.22M 0.39%
+79,342
New +$3.71M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
ISRG icon
67
Intuitive Surgical
ISRG
$151B
$3.22M 0.39%
+6,160
New +$3.21M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
MRSH icon
68
Marsh
MRSH
$89.9B
$3.21M 0.39%
+15,125
New +$3.36M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CFLT icon
69
DELISTED
Confluent
CFLT
$3.18M 0.39%
113,643
+58,100
+105% +$1.56M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
LDOS icon
70
Leidos
LDOS
$15.7B
$3.17M 0.39%
+21,972
New +$3.66M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
GME icon
71
GameStop
GME
$13.5B
$3.13M 0.38%
+100,025
New +$2.57M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
GRMN icon
72
Garmin
GRMN
$54.9B
$3.13M 0.38%
15,152
+6,700
+79% +$1.31M
2024 Q1
3 quarters
IWM icon
73
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$76.2B
$3.12M 0.38%
14,100
+10,931
+345% +$2.49M
2023 Q4
4 quarters
TSLA icon
74
Tesla
TSLA
$1.4T
$3.07M 0.38%
7,600
-51,600
-87% -$16.6M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
RIO icon
75
Rio Tinto
RIO
$147B
$3.04M 0.37%
51,674
+32,800
+174% +$2.09M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
1 2
3
4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.