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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
CNC icon
51
Centene
CNC
$32.3B
$3.68M 0.45%
+60,700
New +$3.79M
EA
52
DELISTED
Electronic Arts
EA
$3.66M 0.45%
+25,000
New +$3.85M
BDX icon
53
Becton Dickinson
BDX
$51.2B
$3.65M 0.45%
+16,073
New +$3.71M
SCHW
54
Charles Schwab
SCHW
$187B
$3.62M 0.44%
48,900
-52,200
-52% -$3.91M
BROS icon
55
Dutch Bros
BROS
$6.99B
$3.53M 0.43%
+67,301
New +$2.97M
DECK icon
56
Deckers Outdoor
DECK
$11.8B
$3.52M 0.43%
17,354
-11,800
-40% -$2.13M
AEM icon
57
Agnico Eagle Mines
AEM
$109B
$3.51M 0.43%
44,900
+37,474
+505% +$3.09M
MS icon
58
Morgan Stanley
MS
$337B
$3.5M 0.43%
+27,800
New +$3.42M
CNM icon
59
Core & Main
CNM
$8.19B
$3.47M 0.43%
+68,256
New +$3.22M
WST icon
60
West Pharmaceutical
WST
$24.4B
$3.44M 0.42%
+10,500
New +$3.3M
EXE
61
Expand Energy Corp
EXE
$22.7B
$3.4M 0.42%
34,129
+31,429
+1,164% +$2.9M
TXN icon
62
Texas Instruments
TXN
$243B
$3.39M 0.42%
18,100
-21,700
-55% -$4.34M
CRL icon
63
Charles River Laboratories
CRL
$14.2B
$3.32M 0.41%
+17,965
New +$3.46M
CAG icon
64
Conagra Brands
CAG
$7.69B
$3.26M 0.4%
117,400
+10,900
+10% +$309K
CTVA icon
65
Corteva
CTVA
$55B
$3.25M 0.4%
57,014
+45,800
+408% +$2.71M
TECK icon
66
Teck Resources
TECK
$34.6B
$3.22M 0.39%
+79,342
New +$3.71M
ISRG icon
67
Intuitive Surgical
ISRG
$130B
$3.22M 0.39%
+6,160
New +$3.21M
MRSH
68
Marsh
MRSH
$90.7B
$3.21M 0.39%
+15,125
New +$3.36M
CFLT
69
DELISTED
Confluent
CFLT
$3.18M 0.39%
113,643
+58,100
+105% +$1.56M
LDOS icon
70
Leidos
LDOS
$17.6B
$3.17M 0.39%
+21,972
New +$3.66M
GME icon
71
GameStop
GME
$8.19B
$3.13M 0.38%
+100,025
New +$2.57M
GRMN
72
Garmin
GRMN
$55.9B
$3.13M 0.38%
15,152
+6,700
+79% +$1.31M
IWM icon
73
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$81.9B
$3.12M 0.38%
14,100
+10,931
+345% +$2.49M
TSLA icon
74
Tesla
TSLA
$1.4T
$3.07M 0.38%
7,600
-51,600
-87% -$16.6M
RIO icon
75
Rio Tinto
RIO
$170B
$3.04M 0.37%
51,674
+32,800
+174% +$2.09M
1 2
3
4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.