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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Avg Time Held
0.2
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.2
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.88% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
51
Block Inc
XYZ
$46.8B
| $3.87M | 0.41% |
50,000
-6,500
| -12% | -$368K |
2023 Q1
3 quarters
|
|
52
3M
MMM
$85B
| $3.86M | 0.41% |
42,252
-23,083
| -35% | -$1.85M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
53
Take-Two Interactive
TTWO
$38.4B
| $3.77M | 0.4% |
23,416
+19,716
| +533% | +$2.94M |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
54
MetLife
MET
$64B
| $3.65M | 0.39% |
55,231
+49,331
| +836% | +$3.09M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
55
Jack Henry & Associates
JKHY
$10.7B
| $3.61M | 0.38% |
+22,102
| New | +$3.38M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
56
Newmont
NEM
$125B
| $3.6M | 0.38% |
86,900
+69,700
| +405% | +$2.69M |
2022 Q2
6 quarters
|
|
57
PepsiCo
PEP
$179B
| $3.48M | 0.37% |
+20,489
| New | +$3.4M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
58
Fidelity National Information Services
FIS
$18.6B
| $3.47M | 0.37% |
+57,766
| New | +$3.17M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
59
Samsara
IOT
$23.2B
| $3.46M | 0.37% |
103,600
+41,500
| +67% | +$1.15M |
2022 Q4
4 quarters
|
|
60
Oneok
OKE
$58.8B
| $3.45M | 0.37% |
49,149
+27,776
| +130% | +$1.86M |
2023 Q1
3 quarters
|
|
61
Burlington
BURL
$16.5B
| $3.4M | 0.36% |
17,485
+9,274
| +113% | +$1.38M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
62
Doximity
DOCS
$5.52B
| $3.39M | 0.36% |
+120,900
| New | +$2.86M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
63
Wells Fargo
WFC
$252B
| $3.36M | 0.36% |
+68,302
| New | +$2.95M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
64
Expeditors International
EXPD
$25.5B
| $3.36M | 0.36% |
26,427
+20,800
| +370% | +$2.45M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
65
UiPath
PATH
$6.7B
| $3.36M | 0.36% |
135,300
+112,000
| +481% | +$2.19M |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
66
Pinduoduo
PDD
$115B
| $3.28M | 0.35% |
22,414
-586
| -3% | -$71.1K |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
67
Applovin
APP
$89.1B
| $3.26M | 0.35% |
81,892
-14,008
| -15% | -$549K |
2022 Q2
6 quarters
|
|
68
Cytokinetics
CYTK
$8.61B
| $3.23M | 0.34% |
+38,674
| New | +$1.4M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
69
Northern Trust
NTRS
$30.3B
| $3.2M | 0.34% |
37,900
+34,411
| +986% | +$2.54M |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
70
Duolingo
DUOL
$6.63B
| $3.15M | 0.33% |
13,867
+8,400
| +154% | +$1.63M |
2023 Q1
3 quarters
|
|
71
Atmos Energy
ATO
$28.3B
| $3.13M | 0.33% |
+27,000
| New | +$3.02M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
72
Clorox
CLX
$10.5B
| $3.07M | 0.33% |
21,500
-6,700
| -24% | -$893K |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
73
Palantir
PLTR
$447B
| $3.04M | 0.32% |
176,800
+3,700
| +2% | +$65.9K |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
74
Nasdaq
NDAQ
$52.5B
| $3.02M | 0.32% |
52,017
+40,800
| +364% | +$2.15M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
75
Biogen
BIIB
$34.4B
| $3M | 0.32% |
+11,600
| New | +$2.85M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.