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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
XYZ
51
Block Inc
XYZ
$51B
| $3.87M | 0.41% |
50,000
-6,500
| -12% | -$368K |
|
52
3M
MMM
$92.2B
| $3.86M | 0.41% |
42,252
-23,083
| -35% | -$1.85M |
|
53
Take-Two Interactive
TTWO
$43.6B
| $3.77M | 0.4% |
23,416
+19,716
| +533% | +$2.94M |
|
54
MetLife
MET
$61.2B
| $3.65M | 0.39% |
55,231
+49,331
| +836% | +$3.09M |
|
55
Jack Henry & Associates
JKHY
$12.1B
| $3.61M | 0.38% |
+22,102
| New | +$3.38M |
|
56
Newmont
NEM
$139B
| $3.6M | 0.38% |
86,900
+69,700
| +405% | +$2.69M |
|
57
PepsiCo
PEP
$191B
| $3.48M | 0.37% |
+20,489
| New | +$3.4M |
|
58
Fidelity National Information Services
FIS
$20.9B
| $3.47M | 0.37% |
+57,766
| New | +$3.17M |
|
59
Samsara
IOT
$24.4B
| $3.46M | 0.37% |
103,600
+41,500
| +67% | +$1.15M |
|
60
Oneok
OKE
$59.7B
| $3.45M | 0.37% |
49,149
+27,776
| +130% | +$1.86M |
|
61
Burlington
BURL
$18.3B
| $3.4M | 0.36% |
17,485
+9,274
| +113% | +$1.38M |
|
62
Doximity
DOCS
$4.56B
| $3.39M | 0.36% |
+120,900
| New | +$2.86M |
|
63
Wells Fargo
WFC
$257B
| $3.36M | 0.36% |
+68,302
| New | +$2.95M |
|
64
Expeditors International
EXPD
$24.8B
| $3.36M | 0.36% |
26,427
+20,800
| +370% | +$2.45M |
|
65
UiPath
PATH
$9.5B
| $3.36M | 0.36% |
135,300
+112,000
| +481% | +$2.19M |
|
66
Pinduoduo
PDD
$121B
| $3.28M | 0.35% |
22,414
-586
| -3% | -$71.1K |
|
67
Applovin
APP
$105B
| $3.26M | 0.35% |
81,892
-14,008
| -15% | -$549K |
|
68
Cytokinetics
CYTK
$10.8B
| $3.23M | 0.34% |
+38,674
| New | +$1.4M |
|
69
Northern Trust
NTRS
$34.1B
| $3.2M | 0.34% |
37,900
+34,411
| +986% | +$2.54M |
|
70
Duolingo
DUOL
$6.68B
| $3.15M | 0.33% |
13,867
+8,400
| +154% | +$1.63M |
|
71
Atmos Energy
ATO
$28.3B
| $3.13M | 0.33% |
+27,000
| New | +$3.02M |
|
72
Clorox
CLX
$12.5B
| $3.07M | 0.33% |
21,500
-6,700
| -24% | -$893K |
|
73
Palantir
PLTR
$447B
| $3.04M | 0.32% |
176,800
+3,700
| +2% | +$65.9K |
|
74
Nasdaq
NDAQ
$55.5B
| $3.02M | 0.32% |
52,017
+40,800
| +364% | +$2.15M |
|
75
Biogen
BIIB
$32.7B
| $3M | 0.32% |
+11,600
| New | +$2.85M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.