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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+11.62%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$409M
AUM Growth
-$44.1M
(-9.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$59.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-14.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.06%
Holding
781
New
279
Increased
97
Reduced
120
Closed
283
Avg Time Held
0.3
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.8M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$7.69M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$6.92M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$6.78M |
| 5 |
Nikola Corporation Common Stock
NKLA
|
+$6.58M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$49.3M |
| 2 |
Biogen
BIIB
|
+$6.69M |
| 3 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$6.42M |
| 4 |
Target
TGT
|
+$5.14M |
| 5 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$4.08M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.52% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.31% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 8.72% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.37% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
51
Advance Auto Parts
AAP
$2.68B
| $1.75M | 0.43% |
11,400
+4,610
| +68% | +$694K |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
|
HZNP
52
DELISTED
Horizon Therapeutics Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
HZNP
| $1.75M | 0.43% |
22,500
+3,100
| +16% | +$213K |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
53
Wynn Resorts
WYNN
$7.78B
| $1.75M | 0.43% |
24,300
+14,100
| +138% | +$1.12M |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
54
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$194B
| $1.73M | 0.42% |
+27,400
| New | +$1.9M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
55
West Pharmaceutical
WST
$27B
| $1.65M | 0.4% |
6,000
-1,378
| -19% | -$365K |
2019 Q3
4 quarters
|
|
56
Cisco
CSCO
$423B
| $1.62M | 0.4% |
+41,217
| New | +$1.8M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
57
BJs Wholesale Club
BJ
$13B
| $1.61M | 0.39% |
+38,700
| New | +$1.6M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
58
ServiceNow
NOW
$147B
| $1.6M | 0.39% |
16,500
-5,390
| -25% | -$481K |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
59
NXP Semiconductors
NXPI
$57.8B
| $1.6M | 0.39% |
+12,800
| New | +$1.56M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
60
Stryker
SYK
$113B
| $1.58M | 0.39% |
+7,605
| New | +$1.48M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
61
Workday
WDAY
$46B
| $1.57M | 0.38% |
+7,300
| New | +$1.44M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
62
Newmont
NEM
$125B
| $1.54M | 0.38% |
+24,300
| New | +$1.58M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
63
Quest Diagnostics
DGX
$25.9B
| $1.54M | 0.38% |
13,463
+10,163
| +308% | +$1.2M |
2020 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
64
Norfolk Southern
NSC
$73.4B
| $1.54M | 0.38% |
7,200
-1,500
| -17% | -$301K |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
65
Abbott
ABT
$181B
| $1.5M | 0.37% |
+13,800
| New | +$1.4M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
66
Chubb
CB
$139B
| $1.48M | 0.36% |
12,700
+7,363
| +138% | +$925K |
2019 Q4
3 quarters
|
|
67
Dropbox
DBX
$7.73B
| $1.46M | 0.36% |
75,900
-12,000
| -14% | -$250K |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
68
Lyft
LYFT
$6.37B
| $1.45M | 0.35% |
+52,700
| New | +$1.57M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
69
Novavax
NVAX
$1.86B
| $1.45M | 0.35% |
+13,400
| New | +$1.63M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
70
HP
HPQ
$27.1B
| $1.45M | 0.35% |
76,147
+11,800
| +18% | +$215K |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
71
Gaotu Techedu
GOTU
$621M
| $1.44M | 0.35% |
+16,000
| New | +$1.43M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
72
Lamb Weston
LW
$7.38B
| $1.43M | 0.35% |
21,645
+9,158
| +73% | +$587K |
2020 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
73
EOG Resources
EOG
$82.9B
| $1.38M | 0.34% |
+38,300
| New | +$1.72M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
74
3M
MMM
$85B
| $1.36M | 0.33% |
+10,166
| New | +$1.37M |
2020 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
75
American Airlines Group
AAL
$7.86B
| $1.32M | 0.32% |
107,200
-48,339
| -31% | -$606K |
2020 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 781 positions worth $409M, down 9.7% from $453M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $59.6M in Q3 2020, closing 283 positions and reducing 120 holdings. Its most notable exit was Biogen, an estimated $6.69M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Apple worth $11.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2020 buy was Apple: 99,200 shares worth $11.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q3 2020, an estimated $7.69M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2020 reduction was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, cutting an estimated $49.3M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Biogen in Q3 2020, selling an estimated $6.69M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $409M portfolio in Q3 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 279 new positions and closed 283 in Q3 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 9.7% quarter-over-quarter to $409M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2020, filed 12 Nov 2020.