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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
BIDU icon
701
Baidu
BIDU
$32.8B
– –
-29,300
Closed -$3.08M
BILL icon
702
BILL Holdings
BILL
$4.94B
– –
-32,400
Closed -$1.71M
BIO icon
703
Bio-Rad Laboratories Class A
BIO
$10.3B
– –
-2,262
Closed -$757K
BMY icon
704
Bristol-Myers Squibb
BMY
$136B
– –
-18,200
Closed -$942K
BNS icon
705
Scotiabank
BNS
$113B
– –
-3,773
Closed -$206K
BOOT icon
706
Boot Barn
BOOT
$4.74B
– –
-2,600
Closed -$435K
BOX icon
707
Box
BOX
$4.83B
– –
-32,100
Closed -$1.05M
BPOP icon
708
Popular Inc
BPOP
$10.8B
– –
-5,209
Closed -$522K
BTBT icon
709
Bit Digital
BTBT
$541M
– –
-12,600
Closed -$44.2K
BTE icon
710
Baytex Energy
BTE
$3.29B
– –
-104,000
Closed -$309K
BUR icon
711
Burford Capital
BUR
$949M
– –
-10,400
Closed -$138K
BURL icon
712
Burlington
BURL
$17.5B
– –
-6,385
Closed -$1.68M
BWXT icon
713
BWX Technologies
BWXT
$14.1B
– –
-3,503
Closed -$381K
NXH
714
Neighborhood Intelligence Inc
NXH
$377M
– –
-80,630
Closed -$739K
C icon
715
Citigroup
C
$224B
– –
-46,500
Closed -$2.91M
CAH icon
716
Cardinal Health
CAH
$54.5B
– –
-14,300
Closed -$1.58M
CAT icon
717
Caterpillar
CAT
$373B
– –
-6,159
Closed -$2.41M
CDNA icon
718
CareDx
CDNA
$2.65B
– –
-21,333
Closed -$666K
CEG icon
719
Constellation Energy
CEG
$99.7B
– –
-7,700
Closed -$2M
CERT icon
720
Certara
CERT
$1.28B
– –
-22,159
Closed -$259K
CFG icon
721
Citizens Financial Group
CFG
$29.6B
– –
-14,038
Closed -$577K
CHGG icon
722
Chegg
CHGG
$91M
– –
-108,273
Closed -$192K
CHRD icon
723
Chord Energy
CHRD
$7.9B
– –
-6,300
Closed -$820K
CIB icon
724
Grupo Cibest SA
CIB
$23.2B
– –
-9,294
Closed -$292K
CLBT icon
725
Cellebrite
CLBT
$3.05B
– –
-45,682
Closed -$769K
27 28
29
30 31

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.