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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
(-6.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-18.47%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.37M |
| 2 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$5.24M |
| 3 |
PayPal
PYPL
|
+$5.12M |
| 4 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$4.77M |
| 5 |
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
|
+$4.74M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$14.9M |
| 2 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$11.5M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$7.38M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$7.33M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.35M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 19.29% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.97% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 13.78% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.12% |
| 5 | Miscellaneous | 9.8% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
601
Norwegian Cruise Line
NCLH
$7.65B
| – | – |
-46,100
| Closed | -$789K |
|
602
Nasdaq
NDAQ
$55.5B
| – | – |
-19,551
| Closed | -$800K |
|
603
Newmont
NEM
$139B
| – | – |
-24,300
| Closed | -$1.54M |
|
604
Neogen
NEOG
$2.56B
| – | – |
-5,600
| Closed | -$219K |
|
605
NIO
NIO
$10.9B
| – | – |
-141,714
| Closed | -$3.01M |
|
606
NOV
NOV
$7.4B
| – | – |
-56,300
| Closed | -$510K |
|
|
NOVA
607
DELISTED
Sunnova Energy
NOVA
| – | – |
-8,300
| Closed | -$252K |
|
608
ServiceNow
NOW
$143B
| – | – |
-16,500
| Closed | -$1.6M |
|
609
NRG Energy
NRG
$24.1B
| – | – |
-12,700
| Closed | -$390K |
|
610
Norfolk Southern
NSC
$78.1B
| – | – |
-7,200
| Closed | -$1.54M |
|
611
Nutanix
NTNX
$18.9B
| – | – |
-35,040
| Closed | -$777K |
|
612
Nucor
NUE
$57.3B
| – | – |
-9,700
| Closed | -$435K |
|
613
Novavax
NVAX
$1.49B
| – | – |
-13,400
| Closed | -$1.45M |
|
614
Novartis
NVS
$294B
| – | – |
-7,213
| Closed | -$627K |
|
615
NXP Semiconductors
NXPI
$57B
| – | – |
-12,800
| Closed | -$1.6M |
|
616
OGE Energy
OGE
$9.51B
| – | – |
-10,531
| Closed | -$316K |
|
617
Omega Healthcare
OHI
$14B
| – | – |
-11,600
| Closed | -$347K |
|
618
Oneok
OKE
$59.7B
| – | – |
-16,000
| Closed | -$416K |
|
619
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
OLLI
$4.32B
| – | – |
-6,700
| Closed | -$585K |
|
620
Omnicom Group
OMC
$24.1B
| – | – |
-6,968
| Closed | -$345K |
|
621
Ovintiv
OVV
$18B
| – | – |
-76,900
| Closed | -$628K |
|
622
Prosperity Bancshares
PB
$8.74B
| – | – |
-4,179
| Closed | -$217K |
|
623
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
PEB
$2.06B
| – | – |
-14,238
| Closed | -$178K |
|
624
PENN Entertainment
PENN
$2.33B
| – | – |
-8,200
| Closed | -$596K |
|
625
Progressive
PGR
$126B
| – | – |
-18,800
| Closed | -$1.78M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.