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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
OLN icon
526
Olin
OLN
$1.94B
$247K 0.03%
7,313
-7,400
-50% -$309K
XLK icon
527
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
$121B
$246K 0.03%
+2,120
New +$247K
APPN icon
528
Appian
APPN
$2.99B
$246K 0.03%
7,461
+100
+1% +$3.57K
HAS icon
529
Hasbro
HAS
$13.4B
$246K 0.03%
+4,400
New +$287K
OSK icon
530
Oshkosh
OSK
$9.49B
$245K 0.03%
+2,577
New +$270K
ARQT icon
531
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
ARQT
$3.02B
$245K 0.03%
+17,587
New +$193K
NEE icon
532
NextEra Energy
NEE
$171B
$244K 0.03%
3,397
-33,203
-91% -$2.58M
HBI
533
DELISTED
Hanesbrands
HBI
$243K 0.03%
+29,900
New +$235K
LEN icon
534
Lennar Class A
LEN
$20.6B
$242K 0.03%
+1,832
New +$298K
PII icon
535
Polaris
PII
$3.61B
$242K 0.03%
+4,192
New +$292K
PSN icon
536
Parsons
PSN
$5.17B
$240K 0.03%
2,600
-6,400
-71% -$653K
XPOF icon
537
Xponential Fitness
XPOF
$228M
$237K 0.03%
+17,600
New +$242K
GCO icon
538
Genesco
GCO
$372M
$234K 0.03%
+5,467
New +$180K
ASO icon
539
Academy Sports + Outdoors
ASO
$2.69B
$234K 0.03%
4,062
-1,400
-26% -$73.8K
HSIC icon
540
Henry Schein
HSIC
$10B
$233K 0.03%
+3,368
New +$242K
CBZ icon
541
CBIZ
CBZ
$2.96B
$232K 0.03%
+2,835
New +$212K
ACI icon
542
Albertsons Companies
ACI
$6.07B
$232K 0.03%
+11,800
New +$224K
CVX icon
543
Chevron
CVX
$396B
$231K 0.03%
1,596
-100,000
-98% -$15.3M
ITT icon
544
ITT
ITT
$18.1B
$229K 0.03%
1,604
-700
-30% -$105K
TARS icon
545
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
TARS
$3.15B
$228K 0.03%
+4,114
New +$187K
TBBK icon
546
The Bancorp
TBBK
$2.69B
$225K 0.03%
4,267
-3,685
-46% -$202K
HLF icon
547
Herbalife
HLF
$1.29B
$221K 0.03%
+33,000
New +$245K
HNST icon
548
The Honest Company
HNST
$620M
$220K 0.03%
31,717
-32,755
-51% -$185K
SYM icon
549
Symbotic
SYM
$5.18B
$218K 0.03%
+9,200
New +$261K
LIVN icon
550
LivaNova
LIVN
$4.38B
$218K 0.03%
+4,700
New +$241K
20 21
22
23 24

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.