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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
TM icon
501
Toyota
TM
$230B
$267K 0.03%
1,371
-300
-18% -$52.8K
RY icon
502
Royal Bank of Canada
RY
$283B
$266K 0.03%
2,209
-36
-2% -$4.44K
VVV icon
503
Valvoline
VVV
$4.09B
$264K 0.03%
+7,300
New +$292K
CZR icon
504
Caesars Entertainment
CZR
$6.04B
$264K 0.03%
7,900
-44,300
-85% -$1.75M
GEN icon
505
Gen Digital
GEN
$18.7B
$263K 0.03%
+9,600
New +$276K
INDI icon
506
indie Semiconductor
INDI
$828M
$262K 0.03%
+64,726
New +$266K
NEXT icon
507
NextDecade
NEXT
$2B
$262K 0.03%
+34,000
New +$218K
MDU icon
508
MDU Resources
MDU
$4.22B
$261K 0.03%
+14,500
New +$254K
ESI icon
509
Element Solutions
ESI
$8.82B
$260K 0.03%
+10,223
New +$276K
MGNI icon
510
Magnite
MGNI
$3.41B
$260K 0.03%
+16,320
New +$239K
BAND
511
Bandwidth Inc
BAND
$1.64B
$257K 0.03%
+15,115
New +$284K
RIG icon
512
Transocean
RIG
$6.48B
$257K 0.03%
+68,400
New +$284K
SMH icon
513
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
SMH
$66.9B
$256K 0.03%
+1,059
New +$263K
LZB icon
514
La-Z-Boy
LZB
$1.32B
$256K 0.03%
+5,884
New +$249K
GBX icon
515
The Greenbrier Companies
GBX
$1.42B
$256K 0.03%
+4,200
New +$256K
ARDX icon
516
Ardelyx
ARDX
$976M
$256K 0.03%
+50,400
New +$278K
DNB
517
DELISTED
Dun & Bradstreet
DNB
$254K 0.03%
+20,409
New +$244K
RLI icon
518
RLI Corp
RLI
$5.94B
$254K 0.03%
+3,078
New +$256K
BHE icon
519
Benchmark Electronics
BHE
$2.62B
$252K 0.03%
+5,550
New +$258K
ALTM
520
DELISTED
Arcadium Lithium plc
ALTM
$252K 0.03%
+49,100
New +$251K
UTI icon
521
Universal Technical Institute
UTI
$1.21B
$249K 0.03%
+9,700
New +$202K
MNST icon
522
Monster Beverage
MNST
$91.1B
$249K 0.03%
9,484
-32,378
-77% -$858K
DOCN icon
523
DigitalOcean
DOCN
$13.9B
$249K 0.03%
7,300
-16,400
-69% -$643K
BILI icon
524
Bilibili
BILI
$6.96B
$248K 0.03%
+13,669
New +$286K
LEGN icon
525
Legend Biotech
LEGN
$3.91B
$247K 0.03%
+7,600
New +$315K
19 20
21
22 23

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AFW
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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.