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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M Turnover 90.24%
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413
Avg Time Held
0.2 years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0 years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0 years

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.91%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow Held Since
CCI icon
26
Crown Castle
CCI
$35B
$4.94M 0.6%
54,400
+27,900
+105% +$2.92M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
COF icon
27
Capital One
COF
$124B
$4.92M 0.6%
+27,600
New +$4.78M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
PFE icon
28
Pfizer
PFE
$169B
$4.82M 0.59%
181,600
+40,800
+29% +$1.11M
2023 Q1
7 quarters
EMR icon
29
Emerson Electric
EMR
$90.1B
$4.76M 0.58%
38,400
+25,400
+195% +$3.08M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
MMM icon
30
3M
MMM
$85B
$4.71M 0.58%
+36,499
New +$4.79M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
MRK icon
31
Merck
MRK
$360B
$4.71M 0.58%
47,355
+3,500
+8% +$361K
2024 Q2
2 quarters
XOM icon
32
ExxonMobil
XOM
$736B
$4.56M 0.56%
42,400
+35,300
+497% +$4.13M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
OKTA icon
33
Okta
OKTA
$32.7B
$4.5M 0.55%
+57,100
New +$4.43M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
PM icon
34
Philip Morris
PM
$320B
$4.49M 0.55%
37,300
+30,800
+474% +$3.89M
2024 Q1
3 quarters
LULU icon
35
lululemon athletica
LULU
$11.2B
$4.44M 0.54%
11,602
+9,180
+379% +$3M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
HPE icon
36
Hewlett Packard
HPE
$73.2B
$4.32M 0.53%
202,418
+82,500
+69% +$1.74M
2024 Q2
2 quarters
OWL icon
37
Blue Owl Capital
OWL
$6.05B
$4.28M 0.52%
+183,900
New +$4.21M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
ESTC icon
38
Elastic
ESTC
$9.63B
$4.24M 0.52%
+42,818
New +$3.96M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
RBLX icon
39
Roblox
RBLX
$35.4B
$4.24M 0.52%
73,200
+23,500
+47% +$1.18M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
UL icon
40
Unilever
UL
$142B
$4.17M 0.51%
+65,333
New +$4.41M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
WSM icon
41
Williams-Sonoma
WSM
$29.5B
$4.07M 0.5%
+22,000
New +$3.49M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
KMB icon
42
Kimberly-Clark
KMB
$35.1B
$4.06M 0.5%
+31,013
New +$4.23M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
KMX icon
43
CarMax
KMX
$7.57B
$4.01M 0.49%
49,000
+35,500
+263% +$2.79M
2023 Q4
4 quarters
SNOW icon
44
Snowflake
SNOW
$108B
$4M 0.49%
+25,879
New +$3.64M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
MRVL icon
45
Marvell Technology
MRVL
$205B
$3.96M 0.48%
+35,861
New +$3.33M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
BCS icon
46
Barclays
BCS
$76B
$3.96M 0.48%
297,600
-132,200
-31% -$1.71M
2024 Q3
1 quarter
GPN icon
47
Global Payments
GPN
$22.1B
$3.88M 0.47%
+34,584
New +$3.78M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
CTRA icon
48
DELISTED
Coterra Energy
CTRA
$3.79M 0.46%
+148,400
New +$3.69M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
ULTA icon
49
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
$25.4B
$3.72M 0.46%
+8,554
New +$3.31M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
HSY icon
50
Hershey
HSY
$34.3B
$3.71M 0.45%
+21,902
New +$3.93M
2024 Q4
0 quarters
1
2
3 4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.