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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M Turnover 90.24%
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+10.92%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$853M
AUM Growth
-$19.3M
Cap. Flow
-$81.6M
Cap. Flow %
-9.56%
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.72%
Holding
1,104
New
422
Increased
110
Reduced
108
Closed
462
Avg Time Held
0.2 years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0 years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1 years

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$14M
2
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$11.7M
3
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.23M
4
TXN icon
Texas Instruments
TXN
+$8M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$7.77M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$39.5M
2
ACN icon
Accenture
ACN
+$13.2M
3
ULTA icon
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
+$11.4M
4
ADBE icon
Adobe
ADBE
+$11.3M
5
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$9.5M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.51%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.21%
3 Healthcare 10.72%
4 Industrials 10.26%
5 Financials 8.26%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow Held Since
LUV icon
26
Southwest Airlines
LUV
$19.3B
$5.26M 0.62%
+177,500
New +$4.91M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
BCS icon
27
Barclays
BCS
$76B
$5.22M 0.61%
+429,800
New +$5.03M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
MRK icon
28
Merck
MRK
$360B
$4.98M 0.58%
43,855
+40,455
+1,190% +$4.81M
2024 Q2
1 quarter
APTV icon
29
Aptiv
APTV
$9.31B
$4.67M 0.55%
64,851
+8,500
+15% +$594K
2024 Q1
2 quarters
DECK icon
30
Deckers Outdoor
DECK
$11.7B
$4.65M 0.54%
29,154
+10,188
+54% +$1.55M
2024 Q2
1 quarter
PANW icon
31
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
$280B
$4.61M 0.54%
+27,000
New +$4.54M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
TGT icon
32
Target
TGT
$70.1B
$4.54M 0.53%
+29,117
New +$4.34M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
SAP icon
33
SAP
SAP
$259B
$4.53M 0.53%
19,793
+8,394
+74% +$1.78M
2024 Q1
2 quarters
CHTR icon
34
Charter Communications
CHTR
$12.6B
$4.5M 0.53%
+13,900
New +$4.68M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
KSS icon
35
Kohl's
KSS
$2.45B
$4.46M 0.52%
+211,200
New +$4.3M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
AMD icon
36
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$863B
$4.35M 0.51%
+26,500
New +$4.03M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
PEP icon
37
PepsiCo
PEP
$179B
$4.34M 0.51%
+25,500
New +$4.38M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
CLX icon
38
Clorox
CLX
$10.5B
$4.3M 0.5%
26,400
+6,600
+33% +$978K
2023 Q2
5 quarters
JBHT icon
39
JB Hunt Transport Services
JBHT
$21.5B
$4.25M 0.5%
+24,639
New +$4.14M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
DE icon
40
Deere & Co
DE
$173B
$4.23M 0.5%
+10,132
New +$3.82M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
ON icon
41
ON Semiconductor
ON
$28B
$4.14M 0.49%
+57,000
New +$4.15M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
PFE icon
42
Pfizer
PFE
$169B
$4.07M 0.48%
140,800
+85,700
+156% +$2.5M
2023 Q1
6 quarters
ENPH icon
43
Enphase Energy
ENPH
$4.05B
$3.94M 0.46%
34,886
+6,700
+24% +$749K
2024 Q1
2 quarters
CVS icon
44
CVS Health
CVS
$118B
$3.84M 0.45%
+61,100
New +$3.56M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
PLD icon
45
Prologis
PLD
$120B
$3.82M 0.45%
+30,227
New +$3.75M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
AEP icon
46
American Electric Power
AEP
$69.2B
$3.81M 0.45%
37,100
-715
-2% -$69.8K
2024 Q2
1 quarter
GNRC icon
47
Generac Holdings
GNRC
$11.4B
$3.69M 0.43%
23,238
+10,200
+78% +$1.51M
2024 Q2
1 quarter
CMS icon
48
CMS Energy
CMS
$21.5B
$3.65M 0.43%
51,700
+15,300
+42% +$1M
2023 Q2
5 quarters
AFRM icon
49
Affirm
AFRM
$25B
$3.6M 0.42%
+88,200
New +$2.93M
2024 Q3
0 quarters
ZBRA icon
50
Zebra Technologies
ZBRA
$17.5B
$3.55M 0.42%
9,595
+5,595
+140% +$1.88M
2023 Q4
3 quarters
1
2
3 4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,104 positions worth $853M, down 2.2% from $873M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $81.6M in Q3 2024, closing 462 positions and reducing 108 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $39.5M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in MongoDB worth $9.6M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2024 buy was MongoDB: 35,529 shares worth $9.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Netflix in Q3 2024, an estimated $14M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2024 reduction was Adobe, cutting an estimated $11.3M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q3 2024, selling an estimated $39.5M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $853M portfolio in Q3 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 422 new positions and closed 462 in Q3 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 2.2% quarter-over-quarter to $853M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2024, filed 14 Nov 2024.