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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26
Visa
V
$709B
| $5.62M | 0.6% |
+21,600
| New | +$5.32M |
|
27
CSX Corp
CSX
$95.5B
| $5.4M | 0.57% |
+155,715
| New | +$4.96M |
|
28
Bristol-Myers Squibb
BMY
$137B
| $5.38M | 0.57% |
+104,800
| New | +$5.5M |
|
29
TSMC
TSM
$2.22T
| $5.35M | 0.57% |
+51,437
| New | +$4.91M |
|
30
Goldman Sachs
GS
$303B
| $5.26M | 0.56% |
+13,628
| New | +$4.55M |
|
31
NetApp
NTAP
$37.4B
| $5.25M | 0.56% |
+59,600
| New | +$4.8M |
|
32
Realty Income
O
$58.5B
| $5.25M | 0.56% |
+91,400
| New | +$4.8M |
|
33
Pfizer
PFE
$160B
| $5.04M | 0.54% |
175,200
+63,600
| +57% | +$1.92M |
|
34
Snowflake
SNOW
$114B
| $4.89M | 0.52% |
+24,579
| New | +$4.16M |
|
35
Roku
ROKU
$23.2B
| $4.8M | 0.51% |
+52,400
| New | +$4.38M |
|
|
HOLX
36
DELISTED
Hologic
HOLX
| $4.79M | 0.51% |
+67,034
| New | +$4.67M |
|
37
Seagate
STX
$192B
| $4.76M | 0.51% |
55,804
-29,684
| -35% | -$2.22M |
|
38
American Tower
AMT
$81.2B
| $4.7M | 0.5% |
21,754
+8,599
| +65% | +$1.63M |
|
39
Sempra
SRE
$55.4B
| $4.68M | 0.5% |
+62,626
| New | +$4.48M |
|
40
Expedia Group
EXPE
$38.3B
| $4.48M | 0.48% |
+29,500
| New | +$3.61M |
|
41
O'Reilly Automotive
ORLY
$71.1B
| $4.45M | 0.47% |
+70,320
| New | +$4.44M |
|
42
Honeywell
HON
$69.9B
| $4.44M | 0.47% |
+22,443
| New | +$4.05M |
|
43
Suncor Energy
SU
$77.7B
| $4.41M | 0.47% |
+137,500
| New | +$4.49M |
|
44
Occidental Petroleum
OXY
$59.1B
| $4.26M | 0.45% |
+71,375
| New | +$4.36M |
|
45
Generac Holdings
GNRC
$11.6B
| $4.17M | 0.44% |
32,300
+25,900
| +405% | +$2.84M |
|
|
FL
46
DELISTED
Foot Locker
FL
| $4.11M | 0.44% |
+132,100
| New | +$3.19M |
|
47
Toro Company
TTC
$9.47B
| $4.05M | 0.43% |
+42,190
| New | +$3.61M |
|
48
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
$23.2B
| $4.02M | 0.43% |
8,200
+3,020
| +58% | +$1.27M |
|
49
Monster Beverage
MNST
$91.5B
| $4.01M | 0.43% |
+139,200
| New | +$3.72M |
|
|
FISV
50
Fiserv Inc
FISV
$28B
| $3.98M | 0.42% |
29,949
+26,600
| +794% | +$3.26M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.