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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M Turnover 90.24%
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow %
-18.47%
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Avg Time Held
0.3 years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1 years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1 years

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$9.37M
2
MU icon
Micron Technology
MU
+$5.24M
3
PYPL icon
PayPal
PYPL
+$5.12M
4
BA icon
Boeing
BA
+$4.77M
5
JNJ icon
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
+$4.74M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$14.9M
2
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$11.5M
3
TSM icon
TSMC
TSM
+$7.38M
4
ABBV icon
AbbVie
ABBV
+$7.33M
5
BABA icon
Alibaba
BABA
+$5.35M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 19.29%
2 Healthcare 13.97%
3 Consumer Discretionary 13.78%
4 Industrials 11.15%
5 Miscellaneous 9.8%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow Held Since
MELI icon
26
Mercado Libre
MELI
$93B
$2.59M 0.68%
+1,544
New +$2.18M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
CHKP icon
27
Check Point Software Technologies
CHKP
$14.1B
$2.55M 0.67%
+19,200
New +$2.35M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
IBM icon
28
IBM
IBM
$219B
$2.51M 0.66%
+20,839
New +$2.41M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
DXCM icon
29
DexCom
DXCM
$32.5B
$2.4M 0.63%
26,000
+1,720
+7% +$154K
2019 Q4
4 quarters
QRVO icon
30
DELISTED
Qorvo
QRVO
$2.36M 0.62%
14,200
-1,800
-11% -$265K
2019 Q3
5 quarters
JPM icon
31
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$902B
$2.34M 0.61%
18,400
+11,300
+159% +$1.26M
2019 Q4
4 quarters
HOLX icon
32
DELISTED
Hologic
HOLX
$2.24M 0.58%
+30,713
New +$2.17M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
SE icon
33
Sea Limited
SE
$57.4B
$2.22M 0.58%
+11,155
New +$1.99M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
CSX icon
34
CSX Corp
CSX
$90.2B
$2.15M 0.56%
70,989
+33,852
+91% +$972K
2020 Q3
1 quarter
ENPH icon
35
Enphase Energy
ENPH
$4.05B
$2.12M 0.55%
12,100
+5,100
+73% +$647K
2020 Q3
1 quarter
GM icon
36
General Motors
GM
$73.7B
$2.09M 0.54%
+50,100
New +$1.95M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
WDAY icon
37
Workday
WDAY
$46B
$2.01M 0.53%
8,400
+1,100
+15% +$247K
2020 Q3
1 quarter
TJX icon
38
TJX Companies
TJX
$162B
$2M 0.52%
29,312
-33,200
-53% -$2.02M
2019 Q4
4 quarters
LOW icon
39
Lowe's Companies
LOW
$111B
$1.97M 0.52%
+12,300
New +$2M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
SPG icon
40
Simon Property Group
SPG
$66.5B
$1.97M 0.51%
23,100
+4,600
+25% +$351K
2020 Q3
1 quarter
AAP icon
41
Advance Auto Parts
AAP
$2.68B
$1.95M 0.51%
12,400
+1,000
+9% +$154K
2020 Q1
3 quarters
CMI icon
42
Cummins
CMI
$73.1B
$1.95M 0.51%
+8,578
New +$1.93M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
PG icon
43
Procter & Gamble
PG
$370B
$1.95M 0.51%
+14,000
New +$1.96M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
META icon
44
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.81T
$1.94M 0.51%
+7,100
New +$1.95M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
K icon
45
DELISTED
Kellanova
K
$1.93M 0.5%
33,015
+15,798
+92% +$950K
2020 Q3
1 quarter
SPGI icon
46
S&P Global
SPGI
$127B
$1.88M 0.49%
+5,732
New +$1.93M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
EW icon
47
Edwards Lifesciences
EW
$49.9B
$1.88M 0.49%
20,600
-8,600
-29% -$713K
2019 Q3
5 quarters
FDX icon
48
FedEx
FDX
$69.5B
$1.87M 0.49%
7,200
-2,998
-29% -$830K
2020 Q3
1 quarter
ZS icon
49
Zscaler
ZS
$33.8B
$1.86M 0.49%
9,300
+5,834
+168% +$928K
2020 Q3
1 quarter
AMD icon
50
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$863B
$1.82M 0.48%
+19,900
New +$1.72M
2020 Q4
0 quarters
1
2
3 4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.