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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow %
-18.47%
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$9.37M
2
MU icon
Micron Technology
MU
+$5.24M
3
PYPL icon
PayPal
PYPL
+$5.12M
4
BA icon
Boeing
BA
+$4.77M
5
JNJ icon
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
+$4.74M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$14.9M
2
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$11.5M
3
TSM icon
TSMC
TSM
+$7.38M
4
ABBV icon
AbbVie
ABBV
+$7.33M
5
BABA icon
Alibaba
BABA
+$5.35M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 19.29%
2 Healthcare 13.97%
3 Consumer Discretionary 13.78%
4 Industrials 11.12%
5 Miscellaneous 9.8%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
MELI icon
26
Mercado Libre
MELI
$97.9B
$2.59M 0.68%
+1,544
New +$2.18M
CHKP icon
27
Check Point Software Technologies
CHKP
$13.6B
$2.55M 0.67%
+19,200
New +$2.35M
IBM icon
28
IBM
IBM
$225B
$2.51M 0.66%
+20,839
New +$2.41M
DXCM icon
29
DexCom
DXCM
$33.7B
$2.4M 0.63%
26,000
+1,720
+7% +$154K
QRVO icon
30
Qorvo
QRVO
$8.49B
$2.36M 0.62%
14,200
-1,800
-11% -$265K
JPM icon
31
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$942B
$2.34M 0.61%
18,400
+11,300
+159% +$1.26M
HOLX
32
DELISTED
Hologic
HOLX
$2.24M 0.58%
+30,713
New +$2.17M
SE icon
33
Sea Limited
SE
$72.5B
$2.22M 0.58%
+11,155
New +$1.99M
CSX icon
34
CSX Corp
CSX
$95.5B
$2.15M 0.56%
70,989
+33,852
+91% +$972K
ENPH icon
35
Enphase Energy
ENPH
$5.19B
$2.12M 0.55%
12,100
+5,100
+73% +$647K
GM icon
36
General Motors
GM
$75.6B
$2.09M 0.54%
+50,100
New +$1.95M
WDAY icon
37
Workday
WDAY
$47.8B
$2.01M 0.53%
8,400
+1,100
+15% +$247K
TJX icon
38
TJX Companies
TJX
$148B
$2M 0.52%
29,312
-33,200
-53% -$2.02M
LOW icon
39
Lowe's Companies
LOW
$116B
$1.97M 0.52%
+12,300
New +$2M
SPG icon
40
Simon Property Group
SPG
$69.5B
$1.97M 0.51%
23,100
+4,600
+25% +$351K
AAP icon
41
Advance Auto Parts
AAP
$2.63B
$1.95M 0.51%
12,400
+1,000
+9% +$154K
CMI icon
42
Cummins
CMI
$79B
$1.95M 0.51%
+8,578
New +$1.93M
PG icon
43
Procter & Gamble
PG
$333B
$1.95M 0.51%
+14,000
New +$1.96M
META icon
44
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.45T
$1.94M 0.51%
+7,100
New +$1.95M
K
45
DELISTED
Kellanova
K
$1.93M 0.5%
33,015
+15,798
+92% +$950K
SPGI icon
46
S&P Global
SPGI
$128B
$1.88M 0.49%
+5,732
New +$1.93M
EW icon
47
Edwards Lifesciences
EW
$51.8B
$1.88M 0.49%
20,600
-8,600
-29% -$713K
FDX icon
48
FedEx
FDX
$78.4B
$1.87M 0.49%
7,200
-2,998
-29% -$830K
ZS icon
49
Zscaler
ZS
$30.3B
$1.86M 0.49%
9,300
+5,834
+168% +$928K
AMD icon
50
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$778B
$1.82M 0.48%
+19,900
New +$1.72M
1
2
3 4 5

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FWM
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.