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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
426
Shoals Technologies Group
SHLS
$1.22B
| $411K | 0.04% |
+26,471
| New | +$401K |
|
427
AerCap
AER
$23.3B
| $409K | 0.04% |
+5,500
| New | +$363K |
|
428
American Homes 4 Rent
AMH
$12.1B
| $407K | 0.04% |
11,315
+3,315
| +41% | +$116K |
|
|
NSA
429
DELISTED
National Storage Affiliates Trust
NSA
| $405K | 0.04% |
+9,756
| New | +$327K |
|
|
UDMY
430
DELISTED
Udemy
UDMY
| $403K | 0.04% |
+27,364
| New | +$341K |
|
431
Marriott Vacations Worldwide
VAC
$3.85B
| $402K | 0.04% |
+4,738
| New | +$404K |
|
432
Red Rock Resorts
RRR
$3.45B
| $401K | 0.04% |
+7,510
| New | +$333K |
|
433
Range Resources
RRC
$9.72B
| $399K | 0.04% |
+13,120
| New | +$431K |
|
434
Energy Recovery
ERII
$401M
| $399K | 0.04% |
+21,153
| New | +$393K |
|
435
QuantumScape Corp
QS
$3.59B
| $397K | 0.04% |
57,100
+27,800
| +95% | +$175K |
|
436
Robert Half
RHI
$4.6B
| $396K | 0.04% |
+4,504
| New | +$358K |
|
437
RXO
RXO
$3.65B
| $391K | 0.04% |
+16,814
| New | +$338K |
|
438
Flowserve
FLS
$10.3B
| $388K | 0.04% |
+9,418
| New | +$362K |
|
439
Thermo Fisher Scientific
TMO
$230B
| $387K | 0.04% |
730
-3,888
| -84% | -$1.88M |
|
440
Alphatec Holdings
ATEC
$1.47B
| $386K | 0.04% |
+25,558
| New | +$306K |
|
441
CBRE Group
CBRE
$43.1B
| $386K | 0.04% |
+4,146
| New | +$322K |
|
442
Whirlpool
WHR
$2.64B
| $385K | 0.04% |
3,164
-2,700
| -46% | -$315K |
|
443
Macerich
MAC
$6.81B
| $381K | 0.04% |
+24,716
| New | +$295K |
|
444
Ally Financial
ALLY
$13B
| $378K | 0.04% |
+10,820
| New | +$302K |
|
445
Valvoline
VVV
$4.1B
| $377K | 0.04% |
+10,038
| New | +$336K |
|
446
AGCO
AGCO
$7.86B
| $376K | 0.04% |
+3,101
| New | +$363K |
|
447
Evercore
EVR
$11.1B
| $376K | 0.04% |
2,200
-3,500
| -61% | -$507K |
|
448
Twist Bioscience
TWST
$9.19B
| $376K | 0.04% |
+10,194
| New | +$236K |
|
|
NVO
449
Novo Nordisk
NVO
$203B
| $376K | 0.04% |
+3,630
| New | +$359K |
|
450
EQT Corp
EQT
$34.2B
| $375K | 0.04% |
+9,700
| New | +$393K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.