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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
DIN icon
401
Dine Brands
DIN
$422M
$430K 0.05%
+14,284
New +$460K
GPOR icon
402
Gulfport Energy Corp
GPOR
$3.11B
$428K 0.05%
+2,325
New +$373K
GLBE icon
403
Global E Online
GLBE
$6.63B
$428K 0.05%
+7,842
New +$355K
AVB
404
DELISTED
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$427K 0.05%
+1,942
New +$438K
LVS icon
405
Las Vegas Sands
LVS
$28.7B
$425K 0.05%
+8,269
New +$429K
TGNA
406
DELISTED
TEGNA Inc
TGNA
$424K 0.05%
+23,200
New +$406K
AVT icon
407
Avnet
AVT
$7.51B
$424K 0.05%
+8,097
New +$439K
CME icon
408
CME Group
CME
$101B
$418K 0.05%
+1,800
New +$414K
DOC icon
409
Healthpeak Properties
DOC
$14.6B
$418K 0.05%
20,600
-94,500
-82% -$2.05M
SAIC icon
410
Saic
SAIC
$5.45B
$417K 0.05%
+3,729
New +$492K
CBRE icon
411
CBRE Group
CBRE
$42.6B
$416K 0.05%
3,170
-12,300
-80% -$1.61M
SPB icon
412
Spectrum Brands
SPB
$2.04B
$414K 0.05%
+4,900
New +$444K
FLYW icon
413
Flywire
FLYW
$2.28B
$414K 0.05%
20,059
+1,300
+7% +$25.4K
OXM icon
414
Oxford Industries
OXM
$570M
$409K 0.05%
+5,193
New +$407K
BAM icon
415
Brookfield Asset Management
BAM
$83.2B
$407K 0.05%
7,511
-27,789
-79% -$1.5M
BYD icon
416
Boyd Gaming
BYD
$5.78B
$406K 0.05%
5,600
-5,300
-49% -$372K
ENR icon
417
Energizer
ENR
$1.51B
$406K 0.05%
+11,640
New +$403K
ZLAB icon
418
Zai Lab
ZLAB
$3.01B
$405K 0.05%
+15,469
New +$429K
EXTR icon
419
Extreme Networks
EXTR
$3.03B
$404K 0.05%
+24,153
New +$391K
BWA icon
420
BorgWarner
BWA
$13.2B
$404K 0.05%
12,700
-2,700
-18% -$91.9K
XPEV icon
421
XPeng
XPEV
$10.8B
$397K 0.05%
33,600
-82,600
-71% -$1.02M
ELAN icon
422
Elanco Animal Health
ELAN
$12.2B
$395K 0.05%
+32,600
New +$427K
PDD icon
423
Pinduoduo
PDD
$121B
$394K 0.05%
+4,063
New +$473K
ABG icon
424
Asbury Automotive
ABG
$3.78B
$393K 0.05%
+1,618
New +$396K
INFA
425
DELISTED
Informatica
INFA
$392K 0.05%
15,100
-30,408
-67% -$796K
15 16
17
18 19

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.