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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
401
Pinnacle West Capital
PNW
$11.9B
| $467K | 0.05% |
6,500
+1,000
| +18% | +$73.5K |
|
|
AVDX
402
DELISTED
AvidXchange
AVDX
| $466K | 0.05% |
+37,649
| New | +$376K |
|
403
Sonos
SONO
$1.79B
| $458K | 0.05% |
26,705
-1,500
| -5% | -$20.2K |
|
404
Dick's Sporting Goods
DKS
$11.8B
| $458K | 0.05% |
+3,114
| New | +$378K |
|
|
EA
405
DELISTED
Electronic Arts
EA
| $453K | 0.05% |
+3,309
| New | +$437K |
|
406
Bank of Montreal
BMO
$120B
| $451K | 0.05% |
+4,563
| New | +$381K |
|
407
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
DIA
$46B
| $449K | 0.05% |
+1,192
| New | +$417K |
|
408
Commercial Metals
CMC
$7.61B
| $448K | 0.05% |
+8,956
| New | +$408K |
|
409
Elevance Health
ELV
$86.6B
| $448K | 0.05% |
+949
| New | +$439K |
|
410
Archer Aviation
ACHR
$4.57B
| $447K | 0.05% |
72,859
-58,600
| -45% | -$333K |
|
411
Valley National Bancorp
VLY
$7.71B
| $445K | 0.05% |
+41,000
| New | +$368K |
|
|
TPH
412
DELISTED
Tri Pointe Homes
TPH
| $445K | 0.05% |
12,573
-10,200
| -45% | -$296K |
|
413
Zillow
Z
$7.97B
| $441K | 0.05% |
+7,630
| New | +$336K |
|
414
Henry Schein
HSIC
$10.1B
| $438K | 0.05% |
+5,785
| New | +$405K |
|
415
Insperity
NSP
$1.98B
| $434K | 0.05% |
+3,700
| New | +$400K |
|
416
Allegro MicroSystems
ALGM
$7.01B
| $430K | 0.05% |
+14,214
| New | +$406K |
|
417
Royalty Pharma
RPRX
$27.6B
| $428K | 0.05% |
+15,252
| New | +$419K |
|
418
Highwoods Properties
HIW
$3.46B
| $427K | 0.05% |
+18,595
| New | +$370K |
|
419
Seadrill
SDRL
$3.03B
| $426K | 0.05% |
+9,000
| New | +$382K |
|
420
PJT Partners
PJT
$4.57B
| $425K | 0.05% |
4,176
+607
| +17% | +$52.2K |
|
421
Las Vegas Sands
LVS
$28.7B
| $425K | 0.05% |
+8,640
| New | +$408K |
|
422
Cirrus Logic
CRUS
$5.56B
| $424K | 0.05% |
5,096
-1,704
| -25% | -$128K |
|
423
AptarGroup
ATR
$8.45B
| $423K | 0.04% |
3,419
-1,200
| -26% | -$151K |
|
424
TC Energy
TRP
$64.6B
| $420K | 0.04% |
10,752
-20,300
| -65% | -$740K |
|
425
New Oriental
EDU
$9.22B
| $412K | 0.04% |
+5,622
| New | +$390K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.