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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
BLD
351
DELISTED
TopBuild
BLD
$536K 0.07%
+1,722
New +$631K
PEG icon
352
Public Service Enterprise Group
PEG
$36.5B
$532K 0.07%
+6,300
New +$558K
MLI icon
353
Mueller Industries
MLI
$14.2B
$532K 0.07%
+13,400
New +$545K
ADNT icon
354
Adient
ADNT
$1.45B
$531K 0.07%
30,845
+11,600
+60% +$232K
CARS icon
355
Cars.com
CARS
$630M
$529K 0.06%
+30,549
New +$534K
GS icon
356
Goldman Sachs
GS
$303B
$527K 0.06%
+920
New +$513K
WY icon
357
Weyerhaeuser
WY
$17.1B
$526K 0.06%
18,700
-11,200
-37% -$349K
FULT icon
358
Fulton Financial
FULT
$4.53B
$522K 0.06%
27,098
+15,800
+140% +$309K
MDB icon
359
MongoDB
MDB
$35.4B
$519K 0.06%
2,229
-33,300
-94% -$9.4M
CGNX icon
360
Cognex
CGNX
$10.6B
$516K 0.06%
+14,400
New +$564K
HLNE icon
361
Hamilton Lane
HLNE
$4.63B
$511K 0.06%
+3,449
New +$615K
CAR icon
362
Avis
CAR
$4.93B
$510K 0.06%
6,322
+3,256
+106% +$297K
PPC icon
363
Pilgrim's Pride
PPC
$7.41B
$508K 0.06%
11,200
+4,006
+56% +$195K
ZD icon
364
Ziff Davis
ZD
$1.91B
$507K 0.06%
+9,334
New +$490K
TAL icon
365
TAL Education Group
TAL
$6.5B
$507K 0.06%
+50,600
New +$532K
IYR icon
366
iShares US Real Estate ETF
IYR
$4.6B
$504K 0.06%
+5,418
New +$534K
ACVA icon
367
ACV Auctions
ACVA
$1.23B
$503K 0.06%
23,300
-7,400
-24% -$150K
ZTO icon
368
ZTO Express
ZTO
$16.1B
$502K 0.06%
25,700
-10,700
-29% -$235K
TWST icon
369
Twist Bioscience
TWST
$9.6B
$502K 0.06%
+10,811
New +$489K
SPSC icon
370
SPS Commerce
SPSC
$3.03B
$498K 0.06%
+2,709
New +$508K
PAYO icon
371
Payoneer
PAYO
$2.42B
$497K 0.06%
+49,529
New +$473K
WDS icon
372
Woodside Energy
WDS
$44.3B
$494K 0.06%
31,662
+3,400
+12% +$54.5K
VRDN icon
373
Viridian Therapeutics
VRDN
$2.71B
$493K 0.06%
25,700
+12,800
+99% +$278K
CARG icon
374
CarGurus
CARG
$3.24B
$491K 0.06%
+13,450
New +$462K
LGIH icon
375
LGI Homes
LGIH
$1.32B
$491K 0.06%
+5,495
New +$577K
13 14
15
16 17

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.