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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
COP icon
326
ConocoPhillips
COP
$156B
$615K 0.08%
6,200
-51,600
-89% -$5.48M
AMC icon
327
AMC Entertainment Holdings
AMC
$2.41B
$609K 0.07%
153,100
+70,600
+86% +$310K
PTON icon
328
Peloton Interactive
PTON
$2.33B
$608K 0.07%
69,832
-62,200
-47% -$485K
HUBG icon
329
HUB Group
HUBG
$2.44B
$607K 0.07%
+13,619
New +$635K
FWRG icon
330
First Watch Restaurant Group
FWRG
$764M
$604K 0.07%
32,469
+16,300
+101% +$288K
ALC icon
331
Alcon
ALC
$34.9B
$604K 0.07%
+7,110
New +$641K
AVY icon
332
Avery Dennison
AVY
$13.5B
$600K 0.07%
+3,205
New +$654K
EQIX icon
333
Equinix
EQIX
$106B
$600K 0.07%
+636
New +$585K
AX icon
334
Axos Financial
AX
$5.52B
$596K 0.07%
+8,527
New +$623K
BHF icon
335
Brighthouse Financial
BHF
$3.11B
$595K 0.07%
+12,381
New +$605K
NE icon
336
Noble Corp
NE
$7.46B
$593K 0.07%
+18,900
New +$626K
TRI icon
337
Thomson Reuters
TRI
$45.4B
$592K 0.07%
+3,634
New +$612K
BNY
338
Bank of New York Mellon
BNY
$110B
$592K 0.07%
7,700
-8,900
-54% -$688K
NJR icon
339
New Jersey Resources
NJR
$5.46B
$588K 0.07%
+12,600
New +$597K
HCC icon
340
Warrior Met Coal
HCC
$5.72B
$578K 0.07%
+10,665
New +$681K
ALKT icon
341
Alkami Technology
ALKT
$2.18B
$575K 0.07%
+15,686
New +$586K
AMBA icon
342
Ambarella
AMBA
$3.12B
$573K 0.07%
7,877
-3,400
-30% -$217K
TREX icon
343
Trex
TREX
$4.69B
$573K 0.07%
+8,300
New +$585K
EXR icon
344
Extra Space Storage
EXR
$30.2B
$570K 0.07%
+3,813
New +$625K
MAN icon
345
ManpowerGroup
MAN
$2.89B
$560K 0.07%
+9,700
New +$618K
BCE icon
346
BCE
BCE
$21.8B
$559K 0.07%
+24,104
New +$693K
TGT icon
347
Target
TGT
$75.4B
$557K 0.07%
4,117
-25,000
-86% -$3.58M
FCFS icon
348
FirstCash
FCFS
$9.72B
$551K 0.07%
5,319
+1,200
+29% +$129K
UMC icon
349
United Microelectronic
UMC
$47.8B
$539K 0.07%
+83,100
New +$595K
ELF icon
350
e.l.f. Beauty
ELF
$6.26B
$539K 0.07%
+4,290
New +$515K
12 13
14
15 16

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PIA
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CCP
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.