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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
(-4.2%)
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.82%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$12.8M |
| 2 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.18M |
| 3 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$8.85M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$8.43M |
| 5 |
Amazon
AMZN
|
+$8.08M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Netflix
NFLX
|
+$17.9M |
| 2 |
Tesla
TSLA
|
+$16.6M |
| 3 |
Chevron
CVX
|
+$15.3M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$9.4M |
| 5 |
Fortinet
FTNT
|
+$8.82M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 22.57% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.97% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.57% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.33% |
| 5 | Financials | 7.06% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HAPN
301
Happen Inc
HAPN
$2.13B
| $705K | 0.09% |
43,561
+26,700
| +158% | +$393K |
|
302
Vontier
VNT
$4.48B
| $704K | 0.09% |
+19,293
| New | +$712K |
|
303
Cheesecake Factory
CAKE
$5.48B
| $702K | 0.09% |
+14,800
| New | +$681K |
|
304
Veracyte
VCYT
$3.64B
| $693K | 0.08% |
+17,500
| New | +$663K |
|
305
Rockwell Automation
ROK
$48.1B
| $692K | 0.08% |
2,421
+1,606
| +197% | +$452K |
|
306
First Horizon
FHN
$11.6B
| $691K | 0.08% |
+34,300
| New | +$645K |
|
307
Encompass Health
EHC
$11.8B
| $690K | 0.08% |
+7,475
| New | +$734K |
|
308
Woodward
WWD
$20.4B
| $688K | 0.08% |
4,136
+965
| +30% | +$165K |
|
309
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
REGN
$83.2B
| $678K | 0.08% |
+952
| New | +$799K |
|
310
Astera Labs
ALAB
$52.8B
| $675K | 0.08% |
+5,100
| New | +$479K |
|
311
Emcor
EME
$34.2B
| $675K | 0.08% |
+1,487
| New | +$704K |
|
312
Globe Life
GL
$13.5B
| $669K | 0.08% |
+5,998
| New | +$647K |
|
313
LyondellBasell Industries
LYB
$20.4B
| $668K | 0.08% |
9,000
+5,500
| +157% | +$462K |
|
314
Rithm Capital
RITM
$5.59B
| $665K | 0.08% |
+61,400
| New | +$665K |
|
315
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile
SQM
$23B
| $662K | 0.08% |
18,200
+8,500
| +88% | +$333K |
|
|
AVDX
316
DELISTED
AvidXchange
AVDX
| $654K | 0.08% |
+63,287
| New | +$618K |
|
317
Pool Corp
POOL
$6.76B
| $652K | 0.08% |
1,913
+622
| +48% | +$227K |
|
318
Ball Corp
BALL
$16.8B
| $651K | 0.08% |
11,800
-100
| -0.8% | -$6.13K |
|
319
Bumble
BMBL
$358M
| $642K | 0.08% |
+78,815
| New | +$608K |
|
320
Aspen Aerogels
ASPN
$434M
| $640K | 0.08% |
+53,909
| New | +$919K |
|
321
NCR Voyix
VYX
$1.27B
| $637K | 0.08% |
+46,060
| New | +$639K |
|
322
Clearway Energy Class C
CWEN
$6.65B
| $632K | 0.08% |
+24,300
| New | +$672K |
|
|
FOLD
323
DELISTED
Amicus Therapeutics
FOLD
| $630K | 0.08% |
66,900
+54,100
| +423% | +$562K |
|
324
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria
BBVA
$158B
| $630K | 0.08% |
+64,800
| New | +$641K |
|
325
Revolve Group
RVLV
$1.63B
| $623K | 0.08% |
18,606
+10,200
| +121% | +$316K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.