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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
301
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
$11.7B
| $721K | 0.08% |
8,073
-18,585
| -70% | -$1.38M |
|
302
Reinsurance Group of America
RGA
$16.1B
| $719K | 0.08% |
+4,443
| New | +$691K |
|
303
Olin
OLN
$1.97B
| $718K | 0.08% |
+13,300
| New | +$637K |
|
304
Upstart Holdings
UPST
$2.96B
| $717K | 0.08% |
17,559
-36,050
| -67% | -$1.1M |
|
305
NorthWestern Energy
NWE
$4.37B
| $713K | 0.08% |
+14,006
| New | +$699K |
|
306
Wingstop
WING
$3B
| $708K | 0.08% |
2,758
-2,400
| -47% | -$518K |
|
307
Republic Services
RSG
$67.1B
| $705K | 0.07% |
4,274
-2,700
| -39% | -$419K |
|
308
Telus
TU
$15.4B
| $704K | 0.07% |
+39,600
| New | +$685K |
|
309
Amphenol
APH
$199B
| $702K | 0.07% |
+14,168
| New | +$626K |
|
310
UDR
UDR
$11.9B
| $701K | 0.07% |
18,300
+2,200
| +14% | +$76.5K |
|
311
Ascendis Pharma A/S
ASND
$16.4B
| $700K | 0.07% |
5,561
+2,432
| +78% | +$242K |
|
312
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
VNQ
$38.8B
| $698K | 0.07% |
7,900
+3,406
| +76% | +$270K |
|
|
ARCH
313
DELISTED
Arch Resources, Inc.
ARCH
| $695K | 0.07% |
+4,186
| New | +$658K |
|
314
Liberty Media Series C
FWONK
$25.6B
| $690K | 0.07% |
10,935
+1,935
| +22% | +$127K |
|
315
Viatris
VTRS
$19.4B
| $689K | 0.07% |
+63,635
| New | +$609K |
|
316
DoubleVerify
DV
$2.07B
| $684K | 0.07% |
+18,596
| New | +$579K |
|
317
AstraZeneca
AZN
$255B
| $680K | 0.07% |
5,050
-3,850
| -43% | -$500K |
|
318
Kite Realty
KRG
$5.21B
| $679K | 0.07% |
+29,722
| New | +$635K |
|
319
Silicon Laboratories
SLAB
$7.31B
| $679K | 0.07% |
+5,132
| New | +$561K |
|
320
Chord Energy
CHRD
$7.99B
| $676K | 0.07% |
+4,068
| New | +$665K |
|
321
Q2 Holdings
QTWO
$4.1B
| $675K | 0.07% |
+15,554
| New | +$552K |
|
322
First Solar
FSLR
$22.6B
| $672K | 0.07% |
+3,900
| New | +$596K |
|
323
Affiliated Managers Group
AMG
$9.58B
| $666K | 0.07% |
+4,400
| New | +$591K |
|
|
K
324
DELISTED
Kellanova
K
| $666K | 0.07% |
11,915
+3,592
| +43% | +$188K |
|
325
Dave & Buster's
PLAY
$319M
| $665K | 0.07% |
+12,345
| New | +$499K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.