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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
276
Helen of Troy
HELE
$674M
| $812K | 0.09% |
+6,725
| New | +$725K |
|
277
10x Genomics
TXG
$8.45B
| $811K | 0.09% |
14,500
+2,700
| +23% | +$117K |
|
278
NVR
NVR
$17B
| $805K | 0.09% |
115
-215
| -65% | -$1.33M |
|
279
Bloom Energy
BE
$64.2B
| $788K | 0.08% |
+53,253
| New | +$666K |
|
|
CTLT
280
DELISTED
CATALENT, INC.
CTLT
| $788K | 0.08% |
17,533
-23,600
| -57% | -$955K |
|
281
Molson Coors Class B
TAP
$7.77B
| $783K | 0.08% |
+12,800
| New | +$769K |
|
282
Copart
CPRT
$30.3B
| $781K | 0.08% |
+15,932
| New | +$753K |
|
283
SentinelOne
S
$7.79B
| $776K | 0.08% |
28,285
-191,700
| -87% | -$3.71M |
|
284
Campbell Soup
CPB
$6.94B
| $773K | 0.08% |
17,880
-112,311
| -86% | -$4.62M |
|
285
Herbalife
HLF
$1.29B
| $771K | 0.08% |
50,500
-9,300
| -16% | -$128K |
|
286
Bilibili
BILI
$7.02B
| $761K | 0.08% |
62,500
+40,339
| +182% | +$527K |
|
287
Merck
MRK
$369B
| $752K | 0.08% |
+6,900
| New | +$716K |
|
288
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLP
$14.8B
| $749K | 0.08% |
10,400
+2,588
| +33% | +$179K |
|
289
PagerDuty
PD
$974M
| $745K | 0.08% |
+32,168
| New | +$696K |
|
290
JFrog
FROG
$12.8B
| $743K | 0.08% |
21,458
+4,700
| +28% | +$127K |
|
291
Trade Desk
TTD
$6.31B
| $742K | 0.08% |
+10,312
| New | +$758K |
|
292
iShares US Real Estate ETF
IYR
$4.6B
| $739K | 0.08% |
8,086
-114
| -1% | -$9.33K |
|
293
ResMed
RMD
$34B
| $734K | 0.08% |
+4,265
| New | +$655K |
|
294
BioNTech
BNTX
$28B
| $728K | 0.08% |
6,900
+700
| +11% | +$70.5K |
|
295
Saic
SAIC
$5.45B
| $727K | 0.08% |
+5,844
| New | +$680K |
|
296
Coursera
COUR
$1.69B
| $726K | 0.08% |
37,500
-15,100
| -29% | -$289K |
|
297
Teck Resources
TECK
$34.6B
| $726K | 0.08% |
17,181
-8,400
| -33% | -$323K |
|
298
HEICO Corp
HEI
$47.1B
| $726K | 0.08% |
+4,058
| New | +$687K |
|
299
Sunrun
RUN
$2.18B
| $724K | 0.08% |
36,859
-64,484
| -64% | -$818K |
|
300
Baxter International
BAX
$13.4B
| $723K | 0.08% |
+18,700
| New | +$662K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.