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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
(-6.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-18.47%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.37M |
| 2 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$5.24M |
| 3 |
PayPal
PYPL
|
+$5.12M |
| 4 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$4.77M |
| 5 |
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
|
+$4.74M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$14.9M |
| 2 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$11.5M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$7.38M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$7.33M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.35M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 19.29% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.97% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 13.78% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.12% |
| 5 | Miscellaneous | 9.8% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
276
Fastenal
FAST
$58.7B
| $347K | 0.09% |
+14,200
| New | +$334K |
|
277
Manhattan Associates
MANH
$13B
| $347K | 0.09% |
+3,300
| New | +$325K |
|
278
Morgan Stanley
MS
$337B
| $345K | 0.09% |
5,038
-51,363
| -91% | -$2.95M |
|
279
Digital Realty Trust
DLR
$71.3B
| $339K | 0.09% |
+2,429
| New | +$347K |
|
|
BFX
280
DELISTED
BowFlex Inc.
BFX
| $337K | 0.09% |
+18,600
| New | +$387K |
|
281
Takeda Pharmaceutical
TAK
$57.6B
| $336K | 0.09% |
18,437
+5,142
| +39% | +$90.2K |
|
|
AQUA
282
DELISTED
Evoqua Water Technologies Corp. Common Stock
AQUA
| $336K | 0.09% |
+12,445
| New | +$309K |
|
283
Masco
MAS
$14.4B
| $335K | 0.09% |
+6,100
| New | +$336K |
|
|
UFS
284
DELISTED
DOMTAR CORPORATION (New)
UFS
| $335K | 0.09% |
10,600
+1,512
| +17% | +$43K |
|
285
Vornado Realty Trust
VNO
$7.23B
| $331K | 0.09% |
+8,874
| New | +$324K |
|
286
American Electric Power
AEP
$66.8B
| $327K | 0.09% |
+3,925
| New | +$341K |
|
287
Brown-Forman Class B
BF.B
$12.5B
| $326K | 0.09% |
4,100
+1,000
| +32% | +$77.2K |
|
288
US Bancorp
USB
$97.2B
| $326K | 0.09% |
+7,000
| New | +$296K |
|
289
Fox Class A
FOXA
$28.3B
| $324K | 0.08% |
11,141
-14,500
| -57% | -$405K |
|
290
iShares US Home Construction ETF
ITB
$2.23B
| $324K | 0.08% |
+5,800
| New | +$327K |
|
291
Lumentum
LITE
$85.8B
| $322K | 0.08% |
+3,400
| New | +$293K |
|
292
Lithia Motors
LAD
$8.16B
| $320K | 0.08% |
+1,094
| New | +$299K |
|
293
Bausch Health
BHC
$2.36B
| $316K | 0.08% |
+15,200
| New | +$284K |
|
|
DQ
294
Daqo New Energy
DQ
$923M
| $310K | 0.08% |
5,400
-2,880
| -35% | -$126K |
|
295
AXIS Capital
AXS
$7.23B
| $307K | 0.08% |
6,100
-74
| -1% | -$3.59K |
|
296
Healthcare Services Group
HCSG
$1.57B
| $306K | 0.08% |
10,900
-170
| -2% | -$4.11K |
|
297
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF
VIG
$113B
| $306K | 0.08% |
+2,166
| New | +$294K |
|
|
XEC
298
DELISTED
CIMAREX ENERGY CO
XEC
| $306K | 0.08% |
8,166
-22,800
| -74% | -$730K |
|
|
PRMW
299
DELISTED
Primo Water Corporation
PRMW
| $305K | 0.08% |
19,469
+6,100
| +46% | +$89.9K |
|
300
Globe Life
GL
$13.5B
| $304K | 0.08% |
+3,200
| New | +$285K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.