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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
UPWK icon
226
Upwork
UPWK
$1.11B
$1.02M 0.12%
+62,345
New +$898K
DE icon
227
Deere & Co
DE
$168B
$1.01M 0.12%
2,384
-7,748
-76% -$3.26M
FR icon
228
First Industrial Realty Trust
FR
$8.27B
$996K 0.12%
19,866
+10,817
+120% +$574K
SRRK icon
229
Scholar Rock
SRRK
$7.22B
$990K 0.12%
+22,900
New +$746K
RNR icon
230
RenaissanceRe
RNR
$13.7B
$988K 0.12%
+3,970
New +$1.07M
TSM icon
231
TSMC
TSM
$2.22T
$987K 0.12%
4,997
-32,900
-87% -$6.37M
ZION icon
232
Zions Bancorporation
ZION
$9.91B
$979K 0.12%
+18,038
New +$988K
NTAP icon
233
NetApp
NTAP
$37.4B
$975K 0.12%
+8,400
New +$1.03M
RL icon
234
Ralph Lauren
RL
$21B
$967K 0.12%
4,187
+700
+20% +$149K
CCK icon
235
Crown Holdings
CCK
$12.8B
$957K 0.12%
+11,569
New +$1.05M
TXRH icon
236
Texas Roadhouse
TXRH
$13.1B
$956K 0.12%
5,300
-4,730
-47% -$890K
RGEN icon
237
Repligen
RGEN
$10.3B
$947K 0.12%
+6,578
New +$943K
ENPH icon
238
Enphase Energy
ENPH
$5.19B
$940K 0.12%
13,688
-21,198
-61% -$1.68M
SPOT icon
239
Spotify
SPOT
$108B
$939K 0.12%
2,100
-14,567
-87% -$6.24M
CSW
240
CSW Industrials
CSW
$5.19B
$939K 0.11%
+2,662
New +$1.04M
AI icon
241
C3.ai
AI
$1.61B
$930K 0.11%
+27,000
New +$838K
TSN icon
242
Tyson Foods
TSN
$19.5B
$925K 0.11%
16,100
-10,300
-39% -$622K
SNDR icon
243
Schneider National
SNDR
$6.18B
$922K 0.11%
+31,500
New +$937K
ADP icon
244
Automatic Data Processing
ADP
$113B
$913K 0.11%
3,119
-9,500
-75% -$2.81M
HIMS icon
245
Hims & Hers Health
HIMS
$7.39B
$909K 0.11%
+37,579
New +$931K
MKSI icon
246
MKS Inc
MKSI
$18.3B
$908K 0.11%
8,700
-600
-6% -$64.8K
W icon
247
Wayfair
W
$14.4B
$900K 0.11%
+20,300
New +$957K
ASTS icon
248
AST SpaceMobile
ASTS
$18.4B
$896K 0.11%
42,479
+29,298
+222% +$715K
MXL icon
249
MaxLinear
MXL
$5.75B
$893K 0.11%
+45,143
New +$724K
RIVN icon
250
Rivian
RIVN
$24.3B
$892K 0.11%
+67,100
New +$772K
8 9
10
11 12

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.