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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
(-6.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-18.47%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.37M |
| 2 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$5.24M |
| 3 |
PayPal
PYPL
|
+$5.12M |
| 4 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$4.77M |
| 5 |
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
|
+$4.74M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$14.9M |
| 2 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$11.5M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$7.38M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$7.33M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.35M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 19.29% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.97% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 13.78% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.12% |
| 5 | Miscellaneous | 9.8% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
226
Revolve Group
RVLV
$1.63B
| $455K | 0.12% |
14,600
-4,500
| -24% | -$100K |
|
227
Simply Good Foods
SMPL
$903M
| $454K | 0.12% |
+14,486
| New | +$337K |
|
228
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLP
$14.8B
| $452K | 0.12% |
6,700
-1,000
| -13% | -$66.1K |
|
229
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals
REGN
$83.2B
| $450K | 0.12% |
+931
| New | +$503K |
|
230
Viatris
VTRS
$19.4B
| $447K | 0.12% |
23,878
-15,822
| -40% | -$258K |
|
231
Timken Company
TKR
$8.63B
| $441K | 0.12% |
+5,696
| New | +$388K |
|
232
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$84B
| $438K | 0.11% |
3,200
+1,000
| +45% | +$128K |
|
233
Varonis Systems
VRNS
$5.14B
| $437K | 0.11% |
+8,007
| New | +$347K |
|
234
Walt Disney
DIS
$184B
| $435K | 0.11% |
+2,400
| New | +$344K |
|
235
Kimberly-Clark
KMB
$36.6B
| $431K | 0.11% |
+3,200
| New | +$448K |
|
236
STMicroelectronics
STM
$45.8B
| $427K | 0.11% |
11,496
-8,771
| -43% | -$311K |
|
|
AVYA
237
DELISTED
Avaya Holdings Corp. Common Stock
AVYA
| $427K | 0.11% |
22,300
-4,800
| -18% | -$89.2K |
|
238
1-800-Flowers.com
FLWS
$240M
| $426K | 0.11% |
16,400
+3,600
| +28% | +$87.5K |
|
239
NovoCure
NVCR
$2.09B
| $426K | 0.11% |
+2,459
| New | +$336K |
|
240
Monster Beverage
MNST
$91.5B
| $425K | 0.11% |
18,400
-13,600
| -43% | -$286K |
|
241
Abercrombie & Fitch
ANF
$6.48B
| $421K | 0.11% |
+20,698
| New | +$379K |
|
|
GTLS
242
DELISTED
Chart Industries
GTLS
| $412K | 0.11% |
+3,500
| New | +$338K |
|
243
Wabtec
WAB
$50.2B
| $410K | 0.11% |
5,601
+1,201
| +27% | +$82.1K |
|
244
MasTec
MTZ
$20.2B
| $409K | 0.11% |
+6,000
| New | +$337K |
|
245
Lyft
LYFT
$6.57B
| $408K | 0.11% |
8,300
-44,400
| -84% | -$1.62M |
|
|
JHG
246
DELISTED
Janus Henderson
JHG
| $407K | 0.11% |
+12,526
| New | +$357K |
|
|
LOGC
247
DELISTED
ContextLogic
LOGC
| $407K | 0.11% |
+743
| New | +$459K |
|
248
Abbott
ABT
$193B
| $405K | 0.11% |
3,700
-10,100
| -73% | -$1.1M |
|
249
Bright Horizons
BFAM
$3.62B
| $405K | 0.11% |
+2,339
| New | +$383K |
|
|
GRMN
250
Garmin
GRMN
$55.9B
| $402K | 0.11% |
3,362
+162
| +5% | +$17.9K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.