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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
201
TTM Technologies
TTMI
$12.8B
| $879K | 0.14% |
21,522
-2,200
| -9% | -$60.8K |
|
202
Annaly Capital Management
NLY
$16.9B
| $856K | 0.14% |
+45,500
| New | +$865K |
|
|
CFLT
203
DELISTED
Confluent
CFLT
| $856K | 0.14% |
34,343
-21,000
| -38% | -$473K |
|
204
Fair Isaac
FICO
$29.7B
| $855K | 0.14% |
+468
| New | +$879K |
|
205
Ingredion
INGR
$6.4B
| $854K | 0.14% |
+6,300
| New | +$851K |
|
|
AXON
206
Axon Enterprise
AXON
$42.4B
| $849K | 0.13% |
1,025
-3,687
| -78% | -$2.51M |
|
|
SEE
207
DELISTED
Sealed Air
SEE
| $838K | 0.13% |
26,999
-11,100
| -29% | -$330K |
|
208
Transmedics
TMDX
$2.57B
| $831K | 0.13% |
6,200
-5,655
| -48% | -$621K |
|
209
On Holding
ONON
$12.4B
| $821K | 0.13% |
15,773
+873
| +6% | +$44.5K |
|
210
Magnite
MGNI
$2.73B
| $815K | 0.13% |
+33,800
| New | +$498K |
|
|
AVDX
211
DELISTED
AvidXchange
AVDX
| $798K | 0.13% |
+81,487
| New | +$735K |
|
212
GXO Logistics
GXO
$6.13B
| $784K | 0.12% |
+16,100
| New | +$642K |
|
|
CWAN
213
DELISTED
Clearwater Analytics
CWAN
| $783K | 0.12% |
35,700
-25,100
| -41% | -$577K |
|
214
Aon
AON
$78.4B
| $782K | 0.12% |
+2,193
| New | +$795K |
|
215
Carnival Corporation Ltd
CCL
$37.1B
| $782K | 0.12% |
+27,800
| New | +$595K |
|
216
Axalta
AXTA
$7.22B
| $778K | 0.12% |
26,200
-1,095
| -4% | -$34.1K |
|
217
International Paper
IP
$22.5B
| $766K | 0.12% |
+16,365
| New | +$774K |
|
218
Verisk Analytics
VRSK
$27.1B
| $763K | 0.12% |
+2,451
| New | +$743K |
|
219
Guardant Health
GH
$19.3B
| $762K | 0.12% |
+14,652
| New | +$654K |
|
220
Hamilton Lane
HLNE
$3.83B
| $760K | 0.12% |
+5,346
| New | +$806K |
|
221
Cincinnati Financial
CINF
$28.5B
| $747K | 0.12% |
+5,019
| New | +$719K |
|
222
F5
FFIV
$23B
| $736K | 0.12% |
2,500
-10,700
| -81% | -$2.96M |
|
223
Patterson-UTI
PTEN
$3.57B
| $733K | 0.12% |
123,663
+80,200
| +185% | +$483K |
|
224
Lemonade
LMND
$4.76B
| $733K | 0.12% |
+16,729
| New | +$557K |
|
225
JB Hunt Transport Services
JBHT
$26.4B
| $732K | 0.12% |
+5,100
| New | +$705K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.