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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
201
LyondellBasell Industries
LYB
$19.5B
| $852K | 0.14% |
12,100
+3,100
| +34% | +$233K |
|
202
Tidewater
TDW
$3.65B
| $850K | 0.14% |
+20,100
| New | +$999K |
|
203
Ross Stores
ROST
$81B
| $845K | 0.14% |
6,614
-32,500
| -83% | -$4.55M |
|
204
Restaurant Brands International
QSR
$25.8B
| $840K | 0.14% |
+12,600
| New | +$812K |
|
205
Microchip Technology
MCHP
$40.7B
| $833K | 0.14% |
+17,200
| New | +$958K |
|
|
APLS
206
DELISTED
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
APLS
| $829K | 0.14% |
+37,900
| New | +$1.05M |
|
207
SS&C Technologies
SSNC
$18.6B
| $827K | 0.14% |
+9,900
| New | +$819K |
|
208
Evolent Health
EVH
$358M
| $819K | 0.14% |
+86,446
| New | +$873K |
|
209
Penumbra
PEN
$12.6B
| $815K | 0.13% |
+3,049
| New | +$825K |
|
210
Lincoln Electric
LECO
$13.7B
| $813K | 0.13% |
+4,300
| New | +$844K |
|
211
Transmedics
TMDX
$2.63B
| $798K | 0.13% |
+11,855
| New | +$815K |
|
212
CF Industries
CF
$19.3B
| $797K | 0.13% |
+10,200
| New | +$856K |
|
213
Cleveland-Cliffs
CLF
$6.64B
| $789K | 0.13% |
96,000
-140,700
| -59% | -$1.43M |
|
214
Remitly
RELY
$4.94B
| $786K | 0.13% |
+37,800
| New | +$867K |
|
|
JHG
215
DELISTED
Janus Henderson
JHG
| $781K | 0.13% |
+21,600
| New | +$890K |
|
216
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
OLLI
$4.4B
| $777K | 0.13% |
6,679
-4,732
| -41% | -$500K |
|
217
CDW
CDW
$18.6B
| $774K | 0.13% |
+4,829
| New | +$877K |
|
218
iShares Semiconductor ETF
SOXX
$41.7B
| $771K | 0.13% |
4,100
-1,639
| -29% | -$350K |
|
219
Iridium Communications
IRDM
$5.05B
| $762K | 0.13% |
+27,900
| New | +$818K |
|
220
Micron Technology
MU
$988B
| $756K | 0.13% |
+8,700
| New | +$836K |
|
221
Kinder Morgan
KMI
$70.5B
| $745K | 0.12% |
+26,100
| New | +$723K |
|
222
Aptiv
APTV
$12.3B
| $744K | 0.12% |
+12,500
| New | +$792K |
|
223
Fortive
FTV
$17.7B
| $740K | 0.12% |
+13,427
| New | +$788K |
|
224
Construction Partners
ROAD
$5.75B
| $740K | 0.12% |
+10,300
| New | +$812K |
|
225
Mercury Insurance
MCY
$5.91B
| $738K | 0.12% |
+13,200
| New | +$712K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.