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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+3.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$316M
AUM Growth
-$29.1M
(-8.4%)
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
19.77%
Holding
567
New
205
Increased
77
Reduced
78
Closed
207
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$8.43M |
| 2 |
FedEx
FDX
|
+$7.9M |
| 3 |
IBM
IBM
|
+$6.03M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$5.99M |
| 5 |
AT&T
T
|
+$5.41M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$17.5M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.1M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$9.92M |
| 4 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$6.09M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.92M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 28.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 18.11% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 14.57% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.75% |
| 5 | Healthcare | 6.58% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
201
TE Connectivity
TEL
$60.2B
| $430K | 0.14% |
2,666
+1,012
| +61% | +$156K |
|
202
Equitable Holdings
EQH
$13.3B
| $419K | 0.13% |
+12,770
| New | +$419K |
|
203
Chegg
CHGG
$110M
| $418K | 0.13% |
13,600
+6,165
| +83% | +$250K |
|
204
Wayfair
W
$12.5B
| $418K | 0.13% |
+2,200
| New | +$519K |
|
205
Weibo
WB
$1.92B
| $415K | 0.13% |
+13,400
| New | +$544K |
|
206
Agnico Eagle Mines
AEM
$73B
| $413K | 0.13% |
7,772
+1,072
| +16% | +$57K |
|
207
Aflac
AFL
$64.4B
| $412K | 0.13% |
7,060
-18,740
| -73% | -$1.05M |
|
208
Brixmor Property Group
BRX
$9.93B
| $411K | 0.13% |
16,174
+3,038
| +23% | +$72.9K |
|
209
3D Systems Corp
DDD
$430M
| $411K | 0.13% |
19,086
+9,086
| +91% | +$229K |
|
210
Deere & Co
DE
$169B
| $411K | 0.13% |
1,200
-700
| -37% | -$244K |
|
|
CALY
211
Callaway Golf Company
CALY
$3.28B
| $403K | 0.13% |
+14,700
| New | +$408K |
|
212
Chubb
CB
$139B
| $402K | 0.13% |
+2,077
| New | +$390K |
|
|
BRSL
213
Brightstar Lottery PLC
BRSL
$1.93B
| $402K | 0.13% |
+13,900
| New | +$393K |
|
214
Progressive
PGR
$125B
| $400K | 0.13% |
3,900
-35,565
| -90% | -$3.39M |
|
215
Globus Medical
GMED
$10.6B
| $397K | 0.13% |
+5,500
| New | +$399K |
|
216
Danaher
DHR
$138B
| $395K | 0.12% |
+1,354
| New | +$373K |
|
217
Under Armour Class C
UA
$2.95B
| $393K | 0.12% |
21,800
+11,500
| +112% | +$223K |
|
|
NBIS
218
Nebius Group N.V.
NBIS
$47.7B
| $389K | 0.12% |
+6,431
| New | +$474K |
|
219
Vroom Inc
VRM
$37.5M
| $384K | 0.12% |
+445
| New | +$599K |
|
220
BioNTech
BNTX
$23B
| $377K | 0.12% |
1,463
-5,837
| -80% | -$1.6M |
|
221
Robinhood
HOOD
$85.9B
| $376K | 0.12% |
+21,165
| New | +$651K |
|
222
Yext
YEXT
$554M
| $375K | 0.12% |
+37,800
| New | +$425K |
|
223
Bilibili
BILI
$7.47B
| $371K | 0.12% |
8,000
-10,817
| -57% | -$723K |
|
224
Boston Beer
SAM
$1.91B
| $371K | 0.12% |
+735
| New | +$367K |
|
225
Manhattan Associates
MANH
$9.42B
| $370K | 0.12% |
2,381
-335
| -12% | -$54.4K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 567 positions worth $316M, down 8.4% from $345M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 20% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $30M in Q4 2021, closing 207 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $17.5M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Oracle worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2021 buy was Oracle: 89,800 shares worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to FedEx in Q4 2021, an estimated $7.9M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was Micron Technology, cutting an estimated $9.92M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 20% of its $316M portfolio in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 205 new positions and closed 207 in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 8.4% quarter-over-quarter to $316M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Feb 2022.