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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
176
L3Harris
LHX
$56.5B
| $890K | 0.18% |
+6,612
| New | +$999K |
|
177
Carnival Corporation Ltd
CCL
$37.1B
| $884K | 0.18% |
+17,922
| New | +$1.03M |
|
178
Ralph Lauren
RL
$22.6B
| $879K | 0.18% |
8,500
-13,100
| -61% | -$1.54M |
|
179
Huntington Ingalls Industries
HII
$11.4B
| $875K | 0.18% |
+4,600
| New | +$1M |
|
180
Honeywell
HON
$77.9B
| $873K | 0.18% |
7,007
+139
| +2% | +$19K |
|
|
FIT
181
DELISTED
Fitbit, Inc. Class A common stock
FIT
| $868K | 0.18% |
+174,600
| New | +$901K |
|
182
RingCentral
RNG
$4.5B
| $866K | 0.18% |
10,500
+1,400
| +15% | +$110K |
|
183
Intuitive Surgical
ISRG
$128B
| $865K | 0.18% |
5,418
-300
| -5% | -$50.8K |
|
184
Broadridge
BR
$17.7B
| $863K | 0.18% |
8,962
+4,100
| +84% | +$444K |
|
|
PPLI
185
People Inc
PPLI
$3.15B
| $860K | 0.18% |
26,298
+761
| +3% | +$25.5K |
|
186
Usana Health Sciences
USNA
$412M
| $860K | 0.18% |
7,304
-4,000
| -35% | -$463K |
|
187
Booz Allen Hamilton
BAH
$8.59B
| $850K | 0.17% |
18,864
-700
| -4% | -$34.4K |
|
188
SS&C Technologies
SSNC
$18.1B
| $847K | 0.17% |
18,784
+2,000
| +12% | +$97.1K |
|
|
UMPQ
189
DELISTED
Umpqua Holdings Corp
UMPQ
| $846K | 0.17% |
+53,228
| New | +$1M |
|
190
Phillips 66
PSX
$83.3B
| $844K | 0.17% |
+9,800
| New | +$958K |
|
|
BEL
191
DELISTED
Belmond Ltd.
BEL
| $839K | 0.17% |
33,500
+16,300
| +95% | +$314K |
|
|
SINA
192
DELISTED
Sina Corp
SINA
| $837K | 0.17% |
+15,600
| New | +$964K |
|
193
Zoetis
ZTS
$32.2B
| $826K | 0.17% |
+9,661
| New | +$870K |
|
194
CACI
CACI
$11B
| $822K | 0.17% |
5,704
+1,196
| +27% | +$204K |
|
195
Olin
OLN
$2.49B
| $819K | 0.17% |
40,731
+15,377
| +61% | +$328K |
|
196
Vericel Corp
VCEL
$2.31B
| $811K | 0.17% |
+46,600
| New | +$697K |
|
|
IPG
197
DELISTED
Interpublic Group of Companies
IPG
| $809K | 0.17% |
39,200
-17,300
| -31% | -$395K |
|
198
Bloomin' Brands
BLMN
$731M
| $803K | 0.16% |
44,908
-11,300
| -20% | -$223K |
|
|
ACIA
199
DELISTED
Acacia Communications Inc
ACIA
| $800K | 0.16% |
21,056
+3,456
| +20% | +$140K |
|
200
Ligand Pharmaceuticals
LGND
$5.96B
| $789K | 0.16% |
9,321
+2,350
| +34% | +$251K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.