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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+7.46%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$156M
AUM Growth
+$74.4M
(+91%)
Cap. Flow
+$78.8M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
50.43%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
25.26%
Holding
328
New
191
Increased
20
Reduced
12
Closed
105
Avg Time Held
0
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$8.52M |
| 2 |
NVIDIA
NVDA
|
+$6.41M |
| 3 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$5.76M |
| 4 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$3.56M |
| 5 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$3.44M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sandisk
SNDK
|
+$5.33M |
| 2 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$2.87M |
| 3 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$2.69M |
| 4 |
Rocket Lab Corp
RKLB
|
+$2.61M |
| 5 |
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
|
+$2.54M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 27.57% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.88% |
| 3 | Financials | 11.54% |
| 4 | Healthcare | 9.13% |
| 5 | Materials | 6.89% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
176
Petrobras
PBR
$165B
| $250K | 0.16% |
+15,500
| New | +$303K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
177
Twilio
TWLO
$39B
| $248K | 0.16% |
+1,200
| New | +$213K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
178
Paychex
PAYX
$42.3B
| $246K | 0.16% |
2,500
-264
| -10% | -$25K |
2025 Q3
3 quarters
|
|
179
C.H. Robinson
CHRW
$16.4B
| $245K | 0.16% |
+1,300
| New | +$231K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
180
Advanced Energy
AEIS
$8.68B
| $242K | 0.16% |
+650
| New | +$227K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
181
Genpact
G
$6.99B
| $242K | 0.15% |
+8,800
| New | +$289K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
182
Caterpillar
CAT
$324B
| $241K | 0.15% |
+226
| New | +$199K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
183
MGIC Investment
MTG
$5.69B
| $240K | 0.15% |
+8,524
| New | +$227K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
184
The Mosaic Company
MOS
$5.49B
| $239K | 0.15% |
+11,300
| New | +$261K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
185
Algonquin Power & Utilities
AQN
$4.2B
| $239K | 0.15% |
+40,800
| New | +$248K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
186
L3Harris
LHX
$47.3B
| $238K | 0.15% |
+818
| New | +$260K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
187
Fidelity National Financial
FNF
$11.1B
| $232K | 0.15% |
+4,929
| New | +$239K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
188
ArcelorMittal
MT
$45.3B
| $231K | 0.15% |
+3,835
| New | +$240K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
189
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services
ZIM
$3.5B
| $229K | 0.15% |
+8,802
| New | +$227K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
190
Flowserve
FLS
$8.61B
| $228K | 0.15% |
+3,076
| New | +$234K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
191
SLB Ltd
SLB
$73.5B
| $223K | 0.14% |
+4,800
| New | +$257K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
192
Teradyne
TER
$48.3B
| $219K | 0.14% |
+453
| New | +$171K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
193
UnitedHealth
UNH
$381B
| $216K | 0.14% |
+520
| New | +$193K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
194
Jack Henry & Associates
JKHY
$11.3B
| $216K | 0.14% |
+1,566
| New | +$222K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
195
Teradata
TDC
$3.18B
| $215K | 0.14% |
+6,200
| New | +$189K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
196
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
RSP
$100B
| $213K | 0.14% |
+1,001
| New | +$205K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
197
BCE
BCE
$19.4B
| $213K | 0.14% |
+9,900
| New | +$238K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
198
Teladoc Health
TDOC
$1.15B
| $213K | 0.14% |
+25,100
| New | +$167K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
199
Annaly Capital Management
NLY
$13.8B
| $207K | 0.13% |
9,249
-17,200
| -65% | -$380K |
2025 Q4
2 quarters
|
|
200
ARK Innovation ETF
ARKK
$6.17B
| $202K | 0.13% |
+2,500
| New | +$191K |
2026 Q2
0 quarters
|
|
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APW
Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2026, Bayesian Capital Management held 328 positions worth $156M, up 91% from $81.9M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 25% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $78.8M of net new capital in Q2 2026, opening 191 new positions and adding to 20 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Alibaba: 67,999 shares worth $6.53M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 24% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Financials.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Sandisk, an estimated $5.33M trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2026 buy was Alibaba: 67,999 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Oracle in Q2 2026, an estimated $5.76M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2026 reduction was Sandisk, cutting an estimated $5.33M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited ExxonMobil in Q2 2026, selling an estimated $2.87M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 25% of its $156M portfolio in Q2 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 191 new positions and closed 105 in Q2 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 91% quarter-over-quarter to $156M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2026, filed 14 Aug 2026.