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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+3.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$316M
AUM Growth
-$29.1M
(-8.4%)
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
19.77%
Holding
567
New
205
Increased
77
Reduced
78
Closed
207
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$8.43M |
| 2 |
FedEx
FDX
|
+$7.9M |
| 3 |
IBM
IBM
|
+$6.03M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$5.99M |
| 5 |
AT&T
T
|
+$5.41M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$17.5M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.1M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$9.92M |
| 4 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$6.09M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.92M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 28.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 18.11% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 14.57% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.75% |
| 5 | Healthcare | 6.58% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
151
Zillow
Z
$7.45B
| $626K | 0.2% |
9,800
-11,800
| -55% | -$850K |
|
152
Macy's
M
$6.52B
| $623K | 0.2% |
+23,800
| New | +$649K |
|
153
Suncor Energy
SU
$75.6B
| $621K | 0.2% |
24,800
+15,100
| +156% | +$368K |
|
154
ChargePoint
CHPT
$137M
| $619K | 0.2% |
+1,625
| New | +$720K |
|
|
FISV
155
Fiserv Inc
FISV
$28B
| $612K | 0.19% |
+5,900
| New | +$610K |
|
156
Crocs
CROX
$6.63B
| $596K | 0.19% |
+4,650
| New | +$716K |
|
157
Uber
UBER
$137B
| $595K | 0.19% |
+14,200
| New | +$612K |
|
158
XP
XP
$8.71B
| $593K | 0.19% |
+20,648
| New | +$672K |
|
159
Sanofi
SNY
$106B
| $592K | 0.19% |
11,823
-5,350
| -31% | -$265K |
|
160
Marqeta
MQ
$1.87B
| $589K | 0.19% |
8,582
+5,632
| +191% | +$504K |
|
161
MGM Resorts International
MGM
$11.8B
| $574K | 0.18% |
+12,800
| New | +$575K |
|
|
B
162
Barrick Mining
B
$62.2B
| $569K | 0.18% |
29,968
-39,132
| -57% | -$743K |
|
163
L3Harris
LHX
$56.6B
| $554K | 0.18% |
+2,600
| New | +$576K |
|
164
Academy Sports + Outdoors
ASO
$3.1B
| $553K | 0.17% |
12,600
-8,017
| -39% | -$348K |
|
165
Workiva
WK
$3.18B
| $548K | 0.17% |
4,196
+2,447
| +140% | +$345K |
|
166
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$109B
| $538K | 0.17% |
4,700
-4,100
| -47% | -$467K |
|
167
Capital One
COF
$126B
| $537K | 0.17% |
3,700
+700
| +23% | +$108K |
|
|
VSXY
168
Victoria's Secret
VSXY
$6.72B
| $511K | 0.16% |
+9,194
| New | +$479K |
|
169
ARK Genomic Revolution ETF
ARKG
$1.54B
| $508K | 0.16% |
8,300
-400
| -5% | -$27.7K |
|
170
Qualys
QLYS
$4.82B
| $508K | 0.16% |
+3,703
| New | +$473K |
|
171
iShares US Real Estate ETF
IYR
$4.72B
| $505K | 0.16% |
+4,345
| New | +$476K |
|
172
Amdocs
DOX
$5.72B
| $502K | 0.16% |
6,706
+769
| +13% | +$57.7K |
|
173
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
VNQ
$39.8B
| $502K | 0.16% |
+4,327
| New | +$473K |
|
174
ArcelorMittal
MT
$50.2B
| $497K | 0.16% |
+15,620
| New | +$484K |
|
|
COUP
175
DELISTED
Coupa Software Incorporated
COUP
| $494K | 0.16% |
3,125
+1,658
| +113% | +$341K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 567 positions worth $316M, down 8.4% from $345M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 20% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $30M in Q4 2021, closing 207 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $17.5M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Oracle worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2021 buy was Oracle: 89,800 shares worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to FedEx in Q4 2021, an estimated $7.9M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was Micron Technology, cutting an estimated $9.92M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 20% of its $316M portfolio in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 205 new positions and closed 207 in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 8.4% quarter-over-quarter to $316M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Feb 2022.