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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AYX
151
DELISTED
Alteryx Inc
AYX
| $1.02M | 0.21% |
17,238
+11,200
| +185% | +$608K |
|
|
HTZ
152
DELISTED
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
HTZ
| $1.02M | 0.21% |
+86,412
| New | +$1.21M |
|
153
W.R. Berkley
WRB
$28.1B
| $1.02M | 0.21% |
46,693
-18,225
| -28% | -$410K |
|
154
Vistra
VST
$53B
| $1.02M | 0.21% |
44,612
+6,700
| +18% | +$158K |
|
155
Paychex
PAYX
$41.1B
| $1.02M | 0.21% |
+15,597
| New | +$1.06M |
|
|
CALY
156
Callaway Golf Company
CALY
$3.28B
| $1.01M | 0.21% |
66,100
+3,000
| +5% | +$60K |
|
157
Trane Technologies
TT
$107B
| $1.01M | 0.21% |
11,050
-2,500
| -18% | -$246K |
|
158
IDEX
IEX
$16.6B
| $1.01M | 0.21% |
+7,976
| New | +$1.07M |
|
|
AJRD
159
DELISTED
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings
AJRD
| $1M | 0.2% |
28,394
+18,400
| +184% | +$626K |
|
160
SPS Commerce
SPSC
$2.41B
| $995K | 0.2% |
24,152
-800
| -3% | -$34.9K |
|
161
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$3.99T
| $994K | 0.2% |
19,020
+3,440
| +22% | +$186K |
|
162
Dover
DOV
$27.7B
| $993K | 0.2% |
+14,000
| New | +$1.14M |
|
163
Global Payments
GPN
$23B
| $983K | 0.2% |
+9,534
| New | +$1.05M |
|
|
S
164
DELISTED
Sprint Corporation
S
| $978K | 0.2% |
+168,100
| New | +$1.04M |
|
165
ASML
ASML
$636B
| $974K | 0.2% |
+6,262
| New | +$1.06M |
|
166
Paycom
PAYC
$7.05B
| $970K | 0.2% |
7,921
+6,563
| +483% | +$840K |
|
167
STAAR Surgical
STAA
$1.14B
| $955K | 0.2% |
29,913
+13,000
| +77% | +$507K |
|
168
Weibo
WB
$1.92B
| $952K | 0.19% |
+16,300
| New | +$987K |
|
169
Equitable Holdings
EQH
$13.3B
| $946K | 0.19% |
56,900
+47,279
| +491% | +$922K |
|
170
Knowles
KN
$3.2B
| $920K | 0.19% |
69,150
+20,050
| +41% | +$294K |
|
171
TechnipFMC
FTI
$29.9B
| $918K | 0.19% |
+63,034
| New | +$1.17M |
|
|
CATM
172
DELISTED
Cardtronics plc Class A Ordinary Shares (UK)
CATM
| $917K | 0.19% |
35,253
+12,600
| +56% | +$382K |
|
|
BEAT
173
DELISTED
BioTelemetry, Inc.
BEAT
| $915K | 0.19% |
15,324
+4,764
| +45% | +$286K |
|
174
Wingstop
WING
$3.74B
| $895K | 0.18% |
13,950
-12,300
| -47% | -$804K |
|
175
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
GDX
$23.2B
| $890K | 0.18% |
42,200
+29,400
| +230% | +$576K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.