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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow %
-30.79%
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$12.4M
2
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$10.8M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$9.35M
4
WDAY icon
Workday
WDAY
+$7.63M
5
KO icon
Coca-Cola
KO
+$7.56M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$15.4M
2
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$11.2M
3
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.62M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$9.18M
5
UNP icon
Union Pacific
UNP
+$8.98M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.33%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.35%
3 Healthcare 12.02%
4 Industrials 10.05%
5 Consumer Staples 8.63%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
AMAT icon
126
Applied Materials
AMAT
$398B
$1.38M 0.23%
9,500
-5,700
-38% -$959K
CYBR
127
DELISTED
CyberArk
CYBR
$1.37M 0.23%
+4,052
New +$1.46M
HRB icon
128
H&R Block
HRB
$5.61B
$1.34M 0.22%
24,421
+9,994
+69% +$534K
RBRK icon
129
Rubrik
RBRK
$14.7B
$1.33M 0.22%
21,881
-10,868
-33% -$742K
CFLT
130
DELISTED
Confluent
CFLT
$1.3M 0.21%
55,343
-58,300
-51% -$1.69M
BWA icon
131
BorgWarner
BWA
$13.2B
$1.29M 0.21%
45,100
+32,400
+255% +$983K
ALB icon
132
Albemarle
ALB
$13.9B
$1.29M 0.21%
+17,900
New +$1.46M
AES icon
133
AES
AES
$10.6B
$1.27M 0.21%
+102,600
New +$1.19M
CBRL icon
134
Cracker Barrel
CBRL
$1.28B
$1.25M 0.21%
+32,300
New +$1.63M
PLD icon
135
Prologis
PLD
$136B
$1.25M 0.21%
+11,200
New +$1.3M
SAIC icon
136
Saic
SAIC
$4.89B
$1.24M 0.2%
11,029
+7,300
+196% +$789K
BECN
137
DELISTED
Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc.
BECN
$1.23M 0.2%
9,956
-7,000
-41% -$815K
ESTC icon
138
Elastic
ESTC
$6.68B
$1.23M 0.2%
13,818
-29,000
-68% -$3.01M
QTWO icon
139
Q2 Holdings
QTWO
$3.7B
$1.22M 0.2%
+15,300
New +$1.35M
DLTR icon
140
Dollar Tree
DLTR
$24.7B
$1.2M 0.2%
+16,000
New +$1.14M
BNY
141
Bank of New York Mellon
BNY
$106B
$1.19M 0.2%
14,200
+6,500
+84% +$546K
D icon
142
Dominion Energy
D
$61.3B
$1.18M 0.19%
20,981
-19,619
-48% -$1.08M
EXE
143
Expand Energy Corp
EXE
$21.4B
$1.16M 0.19%
10,400
-23,729
-70% -$2.47M
INVH icon
144
Invitation Homes
INVH
$17.6B
$1.16M 0.19%
33,200
+900
+3% +$29.1K
HUBS icon
145
HubSpot
HUBS
$11.9B
$1.13M 0.19%
+1,986
New +$1.39M
LVS icon
146
Las Vegas Sands
LVS
$32.3B
$1.12M 0.19%
29,100
+20,831
+252% +$920K
FIVN icon
147
FIVE9
FIVN
$2.12B
$1.11M 0.18%
+40,900
New +$1.5M
CHKP icon
148
Check Point Software Technologies
CHKP
$13.1B
$1.11M 0.18%
+4,861
New +$1.03M
SEE
149
DELISTED
Sealed Air
SEE
$1.1M 0.18%
38,099
+31,899
+515% +$1.04M
LOW icon
150
Lowe's Companies
LOW
$118B
$1.09M 0.18%
4,663
-537
-10% -$132K
4 5
6
7 8

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.