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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow %
-5.32%
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$10.6M
2
WFC icon
Wells Fargo
WFC
+$9.91M
3
PEP icon
PepsiCo
PEP
+$7.84M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$7.49M
5
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$7.36M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$13.6M
2
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$9.96M
3
KO icon
Coca-Cola
KO
+$8.1M
4
SLB icon
SLB Ltd
SLB
+$7.99M
5
WDAY icon
Workday
WDAY
+$6.98M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.15%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.1%
3 Healthcare 13.9%
4 Industrials 9.92%
5 Financials 8.17%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
TSM icon
101
TSMC
TSM
$2.06T
$1.77M 0.28%
7,800
-1,397
-15% -$259K
ABBV icon
102
AbbVie
ABBV
$456B
$1.76M 0.28%
9,500
-4,700
-33% -$873K
WSM icon
103
Williams-Sonoma
WSM
$27.3B
$1.75M 0.28%
+10,700
New +$1.68M
MS icon
104
Morgan Stanley
MS
$335B
$1.75M 0.28%
+12,400
New +$1.52M
CAVA icon
105
CAVA Group
CAVA
$7.48B
$1.74M 0.28%
20,701
+17,300
+509% +$1.48M
IPG
106
DELISTED
Interpublic Group of Companies
IPG
$1.72M 0.27%
70,300
+32,800
+87% +$798K
CDNS icon
107
Cadence Design Systems
CDNS
$93.6B
$1.72M 0.27%
+5,576
New +$1.62M
BAC icon
108
Bank of America
BAC
$436B
$1.72M 0.27%
36,300
-39,100
-52% -$1.64M
ETR icon
109
Entergy
ETR
$53.2B
$1.71M 0.27%
20,600
+13,700
+199% +$1.13M
SE icon
110
Sea Limited
SE
$64B
$1.71M 0.27%
+10,700
New +$1.55M
EOG icon
111
EOG Resources
EOG
$75.4B
$1.7M 0.27%
14,209
+1,209
+9% +$138K
DAVE icon
112
Dave Inc
DAVE
$5.22B
$1.66M 0.26%
+6,200
New +$977K
KEYS icon
113
Keysight
KEYS
$53.3B
$1.66M 0.26%
+10,145
New +$1.55M
LYFT icon
114
Lyft
LYFT
$5.77B
$1.66M 0.26%
+105,300
New +$1.48M
BILL icon
115
BILL Holdings
BILL
$4.52B
$1.62M 0.26%
+35,100
New +$1.55M
VMC icon
116
Vulcan Materials
VMC
$36.9B
$1.62M 0.26%
+6,200
New +$1.59M
NFLX icon
117
Netflix
NFLX
$294B
$1.61M 0.25%
12,000
+8,480
+241% +$959K
LDOS icon
118
Leidos
LDOS
$14.5B
$1.6M 0.25%
+10,169
New +$1.5M
ELAN icon
119
Elanco Animal Health
ELAN
$12.7B
$1.58M 0.25%
+110,900
New +$1.3M
SHW icon
120
Sherwin-Williams
SHW
$80.7B
$1.58M 0.25%
4,605
+1,900
+70% +$658K
SKX
121
DELISTED
Skechers
SKX
$1.57M 0.25%
24,910
+17,700
+245% +$1.02M
POOL icon
122
Pool Corp
POOL
$6.77B
$1.54M 0.24%
5,300
+3,100
+141% +$938K
NRG icon
123
NRG Energy
NRG
$28.8B
$1.54M 0.24%
+9,575
New +$1.26M
UAA icon
124
Under Armour
UAA
$3.03B
$1.51M 0.24%
221,800
+75,400
+52% +$469K
STZ icon
125
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
$1.51M 0.24%
+9,300
New +$1.67M
3 4
5
6 7

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.