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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101
Rockwell Automation
ROK
$50.6B
| $1.68M | 0.28% |
6,500
+4,079
| +168% | +$1.14M |
|
102
Marathon Digital Holdings
MARA
$4.39B
| $1.68M | 0.28% |
+145,763
| New | +$2.32M |
|
103
EOG Resources
EOG
$76B
| $1.67M | 0.28% |
+13,000
| New | +$1.67M |
|
104
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$109B
| $1.65M | 0.27% |
+15,800
| New | +$1.78M |
|
105
Norfolk Southern
NSC
$77.6B
| $1.63M | 0.27% |
6,900
+5,400
| +360% | +$1.32M |
|
106
Kenvue
KVUE
$37.3B
| $1.63M | 0.27% |
+68,100
| New | +$1.51M |
|
|
CWAN
107
DELISTED
Clearwater Analytics
CWAN
| $1.63M | 0.27% |
+60,800
| New | +$1.71M |
|
108
Chewy
CHWY
$8.96B
| $1.62M | 0.27% |
49,936
+24,536
| +97% | +$880K |
|
109
American Tower
AMT
$77.9B
| $1.61M | 0.27% |
+7,402
| New | +$1.45M |
|
110
Affirm
AFRM
$24.4B
| $1.6M | 0.26% |
+35,418
| New | +$2.1M |
|
111
Take-Two Interactive
TTWO
$44.6B
| $1.6M | 0.26% |
+7,700
| New | +$1.54M |
|
112
Snowflake
SNOW
$93.5B
| $1.59M | 0.26% |
10,879
-15,000
| -58% | -$2.55M |
|
|
SWTX
113
DELISTED
SpringWorks Therapeutics
SWTX
| $1.58M | 0.26% |
+35,814
| New | +$1.65M |
|
114
Southwest Airlines
LUV
$22B
| $1.53M | 0.25% |
+45,600
| New | +$1.44M |
|
115
TSMC
TSM
$2.03T
| $1.53M | 0.25% |
9,197
+4,200
| +84% | +$816K |
|
116
AB InBev
BUD
$156B
| $1.52M | 0.25% |
24,700
+16,100
| +187% | +$881K |
|
117
Ralph Lauren
RL
$22.6B
| $1.47M | 0.24% |
6,647
+2,460
| +59% | +$610K |
|
118
Apple
AAPL
$4.96T
| $1.47M | 0.24% |
6,600
-14,900
| -69% | -$3.45M |
|
119
Illumina
ILMN
$28.7B
| $1.46M | 0.24% |
18,400
+4,900
| +36% | +$530K |
|
|
HES
120
DELISTED
Hess
HES
| $1.44M | 0.24% |
8,996
-10,404
| -54% | -$1.53M |
|
121
Global Payments
GPN
$22.8B
| $1.43M | 0.24% |
14,600
-19,984
| -58% | -$2.09M |
|
122
Eastman Chemical
EMN
$7.75B
| $1.43M | 0.24% |
+16,218
| New | +$1.53M |
|
123
Super Micro Computer
SMCI
$18.7B
| $1.41M | 0.23% |
+41,318
| New | +$1.57M |
|
124
Home Depot
HD
$337B
| $1.39M | 0.23% |
+3,800
| New | +$1.48M |
|
125
Broadcom
AVGO
$1.8T
| $1.38M | 0.23% |
8,242
-19,400
| -70% | -$4.11M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.