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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+3.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$316M
AUM Growth
-$29.1M
(-8.4%)
Cap. Flow
-$30M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
19.77%
Holding
567
New
205
Increased
77
Reduced
78
Closed
207
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$8.43M |
| 2 |
FedEx
FDX
|
+$7.9M |
| 3 |
IBM
IBM
|
+$6.03M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$5.99M |
| 5 |
AT&T
T
|
+$5.41M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$17.5M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.1M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$9.92M |
| 4 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$6.09M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.92M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 28.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 18.11% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 14.57% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.75% |
| 5 | Healthcare | 6.58% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101
McKesson
MCK
$100B
| $927K | 0.29% |
3,731
-869
| -19% | -$191K |
|
102
Five Below
FIVE
$11.4B
| $924K | 0.29% |
4,465
-700
| -14% | -$138K |
|
103
Omnicom Group
OMC
$23.5B
| $916K | 0.29% |
+12,500
| New | +$889K |
|
104
Li Auto
LI
$13.1B
| $915K | 0.29% |
28,500
-4,900
| -15% | -$151K |
|
105
Gen Digital
GEN
$16B
| $912K | 0.29% |
35,100
+23,200
| +195% | +$587K |
|
|
P
106
Everpure Inc
P
$24B
| $906K | 0.29% |
27,842
+19,236
| +224% | +$558K |
|
107
Intuitive Surgical
ISRG
$128B
| $898K | 0.28% |
+2,500
| New | +$860K |
|
108
AngloGold Ashanti
AU
$40.4B
| $895K | 0.28% |
42,636
+28,136
| +194% | +$548K |
|
109
Snowflake
SNOW
$93.5B
| $890K | 0.28% |
+2,626
| New | +$915K |
|
110
Blackstone
BX
$105B
| $880K | 0.28% |
6,800
-14,600
| -68% | -$1.95M |
|
|
AXON
111
Axon Enterprise
AXON
$42B
| $866K | 0.27% |
+5,518
| New | +$926K |
|
|
WBA
112
DELISTED
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
| $863K | 0.27% |
16,543
+2,983
| +22% | +$144K |
|
113
Air Products & Chemicals
APD
$65.2B
| $860K | 0.27% |
+2,826
| New | +$830K |
|
114
Sonos
SONO
$1.85B
| $858K | 0.27% |
28,797
-8,403
| -23% | -$267K |
|
115
Harley-Davidson
HOG
$2.63B
| $851K | 0.27% |
+22,566
| New | +$842K |
|
116
Moody's
MCO
$84.1B
| $848K | 0.27% |
+2,172
| New | +$838K |
|
117
Robert Half
RHI
$3.98B
| $831K | 0.26% |
7,456
+700
| +10% | +$77.9K |
|
118
AstraZeneca
AZN
$266B
| $821K | 0.26% |
7,050
-7,700
| -52% | -$906K |
|
119
Elanco Animal Health
ELAN
$12.6B
| $820K | 0.26% |
28,900
+3,778
| +15% | +$118K |
|
120
Tilray
TLRY
$490M
| $811K | 0.26% |
+11,540
| New | +$1.16M |
|
|
JNPR
121
DELISTED
Juniper Networks
JNPR
| $807K | 0.26% |
22,600
+13,500
| +148% | +$422K |
|
122
Kohl's
KSS
$2.05B
| $807K | 0.26% |
+16,348
| New | +$835K |
|
123
Okta
OKTA
$24.1B
| $807K | 0.26% |
+3,600
| New | +$858K |
|
|
PARA
124
DELISTED
Paramount Global Class B
PARA
| $799K | 0.25% |
26,461
-15,439
| -37% | -$532K |
|
125
Under Armour
UAA
$3.02B
| $790K | 0.25% |
37,300
+13,500
| +57% | +$306K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 567 positions worth $316M, down 8.4% from $345M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 20% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $30M in Q4 2021, closing 207 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $17.5M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 28% of assets, up from 21% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Oracle worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2021 buy was Oracle: 89,800 shares worth $7.83M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to FedEx in Q4 2021, an estimated $7.9M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was Micron Technology, cutting an estimated $9.92M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 20% of its $316M portfolio in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 205 new positions and closed 207 in Q4 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 8.4% quarter-over-quarter to $316M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Feb 2022.