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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-4.39%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$345M
AUM Growth
-$37.4M
(-9.8%)
Cap. Flow
-$19.8M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.72%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
24.56%
Holding
613
New
226
Increased
61
Reduced
75
Closed
251
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$18M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.4M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$11.2M |
| 4 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$7.28M |
| 5 |
Costco
COST
|
+$5.08M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Amazon
AMZN
|
+$11.4M |
| 2 |
Tesla
TSLA
|
+$9.05M |
| 3 |
General Mills
GIS
|
+$9.05M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$8.86M |
| 5 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$7.03M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 21.41% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.97% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 10.59% |
| 4 | Healthcare | 10.21% |
| 5 | Financials | 9.11% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101
Five Below
FIVE
$11.5B
| $913K | 0.26% |
5,165
+3,815
| +283% | +$760K |
|
102
Avantor
AVTR
$8.48B
| $900K | 0.26% |
+22,013
| New | +$860K |
|
103
Salesforce
CRM
$149B
| $885K | 0.26% |
3,262
-20,138
| -86% | -$5.11M |
|
104
Li Auto
LI
$13.8B
| $878K | 0.25% |
33,400
+26,900
| +414% | +$809K |
|
105
Etsy
ETSY
$8.21B
| $869K | 0.25% |
+4,179
| New | +$847K |
|
106
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLE
$38.3B
| $844K | 0.24% |
32,400
+3,200
| +11% | +$79.3K |
|
107
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
$9.73B
| $840K | 0.24% |
+5,100
| New | +$932K |
|
108
NextEra Energy
NEE
$186B
| $833K | 0.24% |
+10,607
| New | +$855K |
|
109
Sanofi
SNY
$109B
| $828K | 0.24% |
+17,173
| New | +$873K |
|
110
Academy Sports + Outdoors
ASO
$3.13B
| $825K | 0.24% |
+20,617
| New | +$822K |
|
111
Nutanix
NTNX
$16B
| $822K | 0.24% |
21,800
-1,100
| -5% | -$41.6K |
|
112
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
OLLI
$4.17B
| $820K | 0.24% |
13,599
+9,141
| +205% | +$740K |
|
113
Sherwin-Williams
SHW
$87.4B
| $811K | 0.23% |
+2,900
| New | +$849K |
|
114
StoneCo
STNE
$2.71B
| $807K | 0.23% |
+23,253
| New | +$1.21M |
|
115
Elanco Animal Health
ELAN
$12.7B
| $801K | 0.23% |
+25,122
| New | +$843K |
|
116
Roblox
RBLX
$35.4B
| $800K | 0.23% |
+10,584
| New | +$869K |
|
117
Magna International
MGA
$18.8B
| $797K | 0.23% |
10,589
+2,021
| +24% | +$166K |
|
118
TSMC
TSM
$2.03T
| $793K | 0.23% |
7,100
-13,900
| -66% | -$1.63M |
|
119
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLV
$43.2B
| $789K | 0.23% |
+6,200
| New | +$819K |
|
120
Entergy
ETR
$52.4B
| $785K | 0.23% |
15,800
+9,000
| +132% | +$482K |
|
121
XPeng
XPEV
$12.2B
| $780K | 0.23% |
+21,956
| New | +$872K |
|
122
Veeva Systems
VEEV
$32.7B
| $779K | 0.23% |
+2,702
| New | +$857K |
|
123
Extra Space Storage
EXR
$32.2B
| $766K | 0.22% |
+4,557
| New | +$806K |
|
124
McDonald's
MCD
$194B
| $747K | 0.22% |
3,100
-3,379
| -52% | -$807K |
|
125
NRG Energy
NRG
$26.9B
| $743K | 0.22% |
18,200
+7,054
| +63% | +$300K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 613 positions worth $345M, down 9.8% from $383M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 25% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $19.8M in Q3 2021, closing 251 positions and reducing 75 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amazon, an estimated $11.4M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 21% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2021 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 40,800 shares worth $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Comcast in Q3 2021, an estimated $4.86M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2021 reduction was General Mills, cutting an estimated $9.05M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amazon in Q3 2021, selling an estimated $11.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 25% of its $345M portfolio in Q3 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 226 new positions and closed 251 in Q3 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 9.8% quarter-over-quarter to $345M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2021, filed 15 Nov 2021.