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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1001
Western Digital
WDC
$162B
| – | – |
-41,807
| Closed | -$1.88M |
|
1002
Woodside Energy
WDS
$44.2B
| – | – |
-31,662
| Closed | -$494K |
|
1003
Cactus
WHD
$3.64B
| – | – |
-6,557
| Closed | -$383K |
|
1004
WIX.com
WIX
$2.5B
| – | – |
-7,500
| Closed | -$1.61M |
|
1005
Waste Management
WM
$96.8B
| – | – |
-5,500
| Closed | -$1.11M |
|
1006
WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings
WSC
$4.43B
| – | – |
-10,900
| Closed | -$365K |
|
1007
Williams-Sonoma
WSM
$27.4B
| – | – |
-22,000
| Closed | -$4.07M |
|
1008
West Pharmaceutical
WST
$23.5B
| – | – |
-10,500
| Closed | -$3.44M |
|
1009
Woodward
WWD
$23.6B
| – | – |
-4,136
| Closed | -$688K |
|
1010
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
$10B
| – | – |
-21,100
| Closed | -$1.9M |
|
1011
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK
$110B
| – | – |
-2,120
| Closed | -$246K |
|
1012
Xencor
XNCR
$1.44B
| – | – |
-8,716
| Closed | -$200K |
|
1013
XPeng
XPEV
$12.5B
| – | – |
-33,600
| Closed | -$397K |
|
1014
Xponential Fitness
XPOF
$284M
| – | – |
-17,600
| Closed | -$237K |
|
1015
Zimmer Biomet
ZBH
$18.6B
| – | – |
-26,607
| Closed | -$2.81M |
|
1016
Zebra Technologies
ZBRA
$13.4B
| – | – |
-3,400
| Closed | -$1.31M |
|
1017
Ziff Davis
ZD
$1.99B
| – | – |
-9,334
| Closed | -$507K |
|
1018
Zeta Global
ZETA
$5.53B
| – | – |
-67,013
| Closed | -$1.21M |
|
1019
Zai Lab
ZLAB
$2.06B
| – | – |
-15,469
| Closed | -$405K |
|
1020
ZTO Express
ZTO
$18.3B
| – | – |
-25,700
| Closed | -$502K |
|
1021
Astera Labs
ALAB
$42.8B
| – | – |
-5,100
| Closed | -$675K |
|
1022
Reddit
RDDT
$35B
| – | – |
-35,300
| Closed | -$5.77M |
|
1023
Corpay
CPAY
$25.4B
| – | – |
-1,424
| Closed | -$482K |
|
1024
UL Solutions
ULS
$18.3B
| – | – |
-7,496
| Closed | -$374K |
|
|
LIF
1025
Life360
LIF
$4.46B
| – | – |
-9,363
| Closed | -$386K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.