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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow %
-30.79%
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$12.4M
2
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$10.8M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$9.35M
4
WDAY icon
Workday
WDAY
+$7.63M
5
KO icon
Coca-Cola
KO
+$7.56M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$15.4M
2
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$11.2M
3
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.62M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$9.18M
5
UNP icon
Union Pacific
UNP
+$8.98M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.33%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.35%
3 Healthcare 12.02%
4 Industrials 10.05%
5 Consumer Staples 8.63%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
IDXX icon
76
Idexx Laboratories
IDXX
$44B
$2.12M 0.35%
+5,046
New +$2.19M
CPNG icon
77
Coupang
CPNG
$28.5B
$2.11M 0.35%
+96,100
New +$2.23M
CCK icon
78
Crown Holdings
CCK
$12.9B
$2.09M 0.35%
23,369
+11,800
+102% +$1.03M
BF.B icon
79
Brown-Forman Class B
BF.B
$12.4B
$2.06M 0.34%
60,700
-11,900
-16% -$401K
BAX icon
80
Baxter International
BAX
$12B
$2.03M 0.34%
+59,300
New +$1.94M
SHOP icon
81
Shopify
SHOP
$161B
$2.02M 0.33%
21,200
+10,600
+100% +$1.16M
HAS icon
82
Hasbro
HAS
$12.7B
$1.98M 0.33%
32,209
+27,809
+632% +$1.68M
WYNN icon
83
Wynn Resorts
WYNN
$10.4B
$1.97M 0.33%
+23,646
New +$2.02M
ODFL icon
84
Old Dominion Freight Line
ODFL
$46.8B
$1.97M 0.33%
11,900
+2,900
+32% +$527K
SN icon
85
SharkNinja
SN
$21.6B
$1.94M 0.32%
+23,228
New +$2.36M
PAYX icon
86
Paychex
PAYX
$41.4B
$1.9M 0.31%
+12,300
New +$1.81M
FISV
87
Fiserv Inc
FISV
$27.9B
$1.87M 0.31%
+8,479
New +$1.86M
PSX icon
88
Phillips 66
PSX
$82.7B
$1.83M 0.3%
+14,800
New +$1.82M
PYPL icon
89
PayPal
PYPL
$49.7B
$1.82M 0.3%
+27,900
New +$2.17M
NET icon
90
Cloudflare
NET
$93.1B
$1.79M 0.3%
+15,884
New +$2.11M
RBA icon
91
RB Global
RBA
$21.4B
$1.77M 0.29%
+17,681
New +$1.69M
ADI icon
92
Analog Devices
ADI
$177B
$1.75M 0.29%
8,700
-15,500
-64% -$3.35M
UPST icon
93
Upstart Holdings
UPST
$2.64B
$1.75M 0.29%
38,100
+18,200
+91% +$1.13M
CLX icon
94
Clorox
CLX
$11.7B
$1.75M 0.29%
+11,900
New +$1.82M
XOM icon
95
ExxonMobil
XOM
$642B
$1.75M 0.29%
14,700
-27,700
-65% -$3.06M
NXT icon
96
Nextpower Inc
NXT
$15.1B
$1.74M 0.29%
41,400
-9,500
-19% -$422K
DFS
97
DELISTED
Discover Financial Services
DFS
$1.74M 0.29%
+10,170
New +$1.86M
FE icon
98
FirstEnergy
FE
$28.6B
$1.7M 0.28%
+42,001
New +$1.67M
PTON icon
99
Peloton Interactive
PTON
$2.68B
$1.7M 0.28%
268,532
+198,700
+285% +$1.56M
CNC icon
100
Centene
CNC
$31.3B
$1.69M 0.28%
27,800
-32,900
-54% -$1.99M
2 3
4
5 6

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.