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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-4.39%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$345M
AUM Growth
-$37.4M
(-9.8%)
Cap. Flow
-$19.8M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.72%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
24.56%
Holding
613
New
226
Increased
61
Reduced
75
Closed
251
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$18M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.4M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$11.2M |
| 4 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$7.28M |
| 5 |
Costco
COST
|
+$5.08M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Amazon
AMZN
|
+$11.4M |
| 2 |
Tesla
TSLA
|
+$9.05M |
| 3 |
General Mills
GIS
|
+$9.05M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$8.86M |
| 5 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$7.03M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 21.41% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.97% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 10.59% |
| 4 | Healthcare | 10.21% |
| 5 | Financials | 9.11% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76
Microchip Technology
MCHP
$39.7B
| $1.18M | 0.34% |
15,400
+11,268
| +273% | +$845K |
|
77
Allstate
ALL
$70.9B
| $1.16M | 0.34% |
+9,123
| New | +$1.21M |
|
78
Lamb Weston
LW
$7.55B
| $1.15M | 0.33% |
18,700
+15,600
| +503% | +$1.06M |
|
|
OPTU
79
Optimum Communications Inc
OPTU
$303M
| $1.13M | 0.33% |
+54,400
| New | +$1.58M |
|
80
McCormick & Company Non-Voting
MKC
$14.1B
| $1.11M | 0.32% |
+13,701
| New | +$1.18M |
|
|
ACB
81
Aurora Cannabis
ACB
$167M
| $1.1M | 0.32% |
15,880
+13,780
| +656% | +$979K |
|
82
Generac Holdings
GNRC
$11.9B
| $1.08M | 0.31% |
+2,640
| New | +$1.13M |
|
83
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
DIA
$45.3B
| $1.05M | 0.3% |
3,110
-2,107
| -40% | -$736K |
|
84
Stanley Black & Decker
SWK
$14.4B
| $1.05M | 0.3% |
+5,998
| New | +$1.17M |
|
85
Bristol-Myers Squibb
BMY
$130B
| $1.04M | 0.3% |
17,597
+3,677
| +26% | +$242K |
|
86
Airbnb
ABNB
$91.6B
| $1.04M | 0.3% |
6,200
-15,000
| -71% | -$2.29M |
|
87
Ciena
CIEN
$48.1B
| $1.03M | 0.3% |
20,100
+14,642
| +268% | +$813K |
|
88
Vale
VALE
$62.6B
| $1.02M | 0.29% |
+72,800
| New | +$1.43M |
|
89
Novavax
NVAX
$1.21B
| $1M | 0.29% |
+4,846
| New | +$1.07M |
|
90
Republic Services
RSG
$67.2B
| $1M | 0.29% |
+8,330
| New | +$997K |
|
91
Caesars Entertainment
CZR
$6.06B
| $972K | 0.28% |
8,659
+2,459
| +40% | +$240K |
|
92
Global Payments
GPN
$24B
| $961K | 0.28% |
6,100
+3,197
| +110% | +$555K |
|
93
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$109B
| $961K | 0.28% |
+8,800
| New | +$969K |
|
94
KB Home
KBH
$3.54B
| $961K | 0.28% |
24,700
+5,900
| +31% | +$245K |
|
95
Petrobras
PBR
$120B
| $960K | 0.28% |
+92,800
| New | +$988K |
|
96
Dover
DOV
$26.8B
| $949K | 0.27% |
+6,100
| New | +$1.01M |
|
97
Omega Healthcare
OHI
$15.4B
| $946K | 0.27% |
+31,588
| New | +$1.09M |
|
98
Waters Corp
WAT
$38B
| $940K | 0.27% |
2,632
-568
| -18% | -$222K |
|
99
STMicroelectronics
STM
$43.6B
| $938K | 0.27% |
21,500
-5,200
| -19% | -$219K |
|
100
McKesson
MCK
$106B
| $917K | 0.27% |
+4,600
| New | +$920K |
|
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QM
Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 613 positions worth $345M, down 9.8% from $383M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 25% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $19.8M in Q3 2021, closing 251 positions and reducing 75 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amazon, an estimated $11.4M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 21% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2021 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 40,800 shares worth $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Comcast in Q3 2021, an estimated $4.86M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2021 reduction was General Mills, cutting an estimated $9.05M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amazon in Q3 2021, selling an estimated $11.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 25% of its $345M portfolio in Q3 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 226 new positions and closed 251 in Q3 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 9.8% quarter-over-quarter to $345M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2021, filed 15 Nov 2021.