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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow %
-9.42%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$7.96M
2
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$6.24M
3
EL icon
Estee Lauder
EL
+$5.96M
4
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$5.04M
5
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
+$4.16M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
LULU icon
lululemon athletica
LULU
+$6.86M
2
LOW icon
Lowe's Companies
LOW
+$6.56M
3
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
+$6.19M
4
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
+$5.8M
5
QCOM icon
Qualcomm
QCOM
+$5.49M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 24.54%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.56%
3 Healthcare 14.16%
4 Industrials 11.69%
5 Consumer Staples 7.51%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
EXEL icon
76
Exelixis
EXEL
$14.1B
$1.52M 0.31%
77,200
+35,900
+87% +$640K
HCA icon
77
HCA Healthcare
HCA
$86.3B
$1.52M 0.31%
12,200
+5,900
+94% +$792K
JACK icon
78
Jack in the Box
JACK
$299M
$1.5M 0.31%
+19,300
New +$1.57M
KLAC icon
79
KLA
KLAC
$262B
$1.5M 0.31%
167,290
+55,000
+49% +$512K
C icon
80
Citigroup
C
$221B
$1.5M 0.31%
+28,741
New +$1.82M
CARG icon
81
CarGurus
CARG
$3.17B
$1.48M 0.3%
44,000
+17,300
+65% +$693K
MCD icon
82
McDonald's
MCD
$192B
$1.45M 0.3%
8,180
-2,300
-22% -$408K
AMT icon
83
American Tower
AMT
$77.4B
$1.44M 0.29%
9,100
-5,953
-40% -$931K
SONY icon
84
Sony
SONY
$130B
$1.44M 0.29%
+148,595
New +$1.57M
ILMN icon
85
Illumina
ILMN
$28.9B
$1.43M 0.29%
4,915
-7,074
-59% -$2.19M
ADM icon
86
Archer Daniels Midland
ADM
$40.1B
$1.42M 0.29%
34,767
-14,533
-29% -$677K
TEAM icon
87
Atlassian
TEAM
$24.5B
$1.42M 0.29%
+15,910
New +$1.26M
HELE icon
88
Helen of Troy
HELE
$652M
$1.37M 0.28%
10,458
+1,900
+22% +$249K
WMGI
89
DELISTED
Wright Medical Group Inc
WMGI
$1.37M 0.28%
50,300
-17,900
-26% -$495K
TER icon
90
Teradyne
TER
$51.8B
$1.35M 0.28%
+43,100
New +$1.46M
CDW icon
91
CDW
CDW
$17.6B
$1.35M 0.28%
16,636
+12,575
+310% +$1.08M
FLS icon
92
Flowserve
FLS
$9.16B
$1.34M 0.27%
+35,256
New +$1.65M
A icon
93
Agilent Technologies
A
$39B
$1.34M 0.27%
+19,801
New +$1.33M
KO icon
94
Coca-Cola
KO
$361B
$1.33M 0.27%
28,100
+7,400
+36% +$354K
ERIC icon
95
Ericsson
ERIC
$31.6B
$1.33M 0.27%
150,000
-139,400
-48% -$1.21M
ITT icon
96
ITT
ITT
$17.4B
$1.32M 0.27%
27,263
+17,050
+167% +$901K
TTD icon
97
Trade Desk
TTD
$8.57B
$1.31M 0.27%
113,000
-192,000
-63% -$2.4M
SNPS icon
98
Synopsys
SNPS
$74.7B
$1.3M 0.27%
15,385
+4,558
+42% +$405K
HDS
99
DELISTED
HD Supply Holdings, Inc.
HDS
$1.29M 0.26%
34,500
+4,500
+15% +$173K
MOS icon
100
The Mosaic Company
MOS
$7.1B
$1.29M 0.26%
+44,200
New +$1.45M
2 3
4
5 6

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.