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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow %
-30.79%
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
CSCO icon
Cisco
CSCO
+$12.4M
2
AMD icon
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
+$10.8M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$9.35M
4
WDAY icon
Workday
WDAY
+$7.63M
5
KO icon
Coca-Cola
KO
+$7.56M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$15.4M
2
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$11.2M
3
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.62M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$9.18M
5
UNP icon
Union Pacific
UNP
+$8.98M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.33%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.35%
3 Healthcare 12.02%
4 Industrials 10.05%
5 Consumer Staples 8.63%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
MLI icon
826
Mueller Industries
MLI
$14.5B
– –
-13,400
Closed -$532K
MRSH
827
Marsh
MRSH
$94.3B
– –
-15,125
Closed -$3.21M
MNST icon
828
Monster Beverage
MNST
$95.1B
– –
-4,742
Closed -$249K
CALY
829
Callaway Golf Company
CALY
$3.28B
– –
-44,200
Closed -$347K
MOH icon
830
Molina Healthcare
MOH
$10.4B
– –
-2,813
Closed -$819K
MOS icon
831
The Mosaic Company
MOS
$7.19B
– –
-11,800
Closed -$290K
MPC icon
832
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$90.1B
– –
-14,897
Closed -$2.08M
MPT
833
Medical Properties Trust
MPT
$2.84B
– –
-16,800
Closed -$66.4K
MRK icon
834
Merck
MRK
$322B
– –
-47,355
Closed -$4.71M
MRSN
835
DELISTED
Mersana Therapeutics
MRSN
– –
-504
Closed -$18K
MRVL icon
836
Marvell Technology
MRVL
$147B
– –
-35,861
Closed -$3.96M
MS icon
837
Morgan Stanley
MS
$319B
– –
-27,800
Closed -$3.5M
MSM icon
838
MSC Industrial Direct
MSM
$6.76B
– –
-3,792
Closed -$283K
MSTR icon
839
Strategy Inc
MSTR
$34.1B
– –
-4,297
Closed -$1.24M
MTDR icon
840
Matador Resources
MTDR
$6.04B
– –
-6,651
Closed -$374K
MTH icon
841
Meritage Homes
MTH
$4.78B
– –
-15,296
Closed -$1.18M
MTSI icon
842
MACOM Technology Solutions
MTSI
$17.4B
– –
-3,657
Closed -$475K
MTZ icon
843
MasTec
MTZ
$22.7B
– –
-10,038
Closed -$1.37M
MUR icon
844
Murphy Oil
MUR
$5.55B
– –
-51,756
Closed -$1.57M
MXL icon
845
MaxLinear
MXL
$5.19B
– –
-45,143
Closed -$893K
NE icon
846
Noble Corp
NE
$6.54B
– –
-18,900
Closed -$593K
NEE icon
847
NextEra Energy
NEE
$184B
– –
-3,397
Closed -$244K
NEGG icon
848
Newegg Commerce
NEGG
$273M
– –
-536
Closed -$4.25K
NEXT icon
849
NextDecade
NEXT
$1.68B
– –
-34,000
Closed -$262K
NGG icon
850
National Grid
NGG
$79.3B
– –
-14,028
Closed -$798K
32 33
34
35 36

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.