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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-13.55%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$488M
AUM Growth
-$122M
(-20%)
Cap. Flow
-$46M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-9.42%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.26%
Holding
885
New
278
Increased
177
Reduced
136
Closed
293
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.96M |
| 2 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.24M |
| 3 |
Estee Lauder
EL
|
+$5.96M |
| 4 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$5.04M |
| 5 |
WBA
Walgreens Boots Alliance
WBA
|
+$4.16M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
lululemon athletica
LULU
|
+$6.86M |
| 2 |
Lowe's Companies
LOW
|
+$6.56M |
| 3 |
TIF
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
|
+$6.19M |
| 4 |
FDC
First Data Corporation
FDC
|
+$5.8M |
| 5 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$5.49M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 24.54% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.56% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 14.16% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.69% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 7.51% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
776
Scorpio Tankers
STNG
$3.91B
| – | – |
-2,860
| Closed | -$57K |
|
777
Constellation Brands
STZ
$22.2B
| – | – |
-15,829
| Closed | -$3.41M |
|
778
Stanley Black & Decker
SWK
$14.5B
| – | – |
-2,000
| Closed | -$293K |
|
779
Sysco
SYY
$40.1B
| – | – |
-55,000
| Closed | -$4.03M |
|
780
Texas Capital Bancshares
TCBI
$4.28B
| – | – |
-11,800
| Closed | -$975K |
|
781
Trip.com Group
TCOM
$28.3B
| – | – |
-68,000
| Closed | -$2.53M |
|
782
Teledyne Technologies
TDY
$30.2B
| – | – |
-1,021
| Closed | -$252K |
|
783
Teva Pharmaceuticals
TEVA
$36.2B
| – | – |
-53,100
| Closed | -$1.14M |
|
784
TJX Companies
TJX
$173B
| – | – |
-92,800
| Closed | -$5.2M |
|
785
Tilly's
TLYS
$117M
| – | – |
-34,604
| Closed | -$656K |
|
786
Toll Brothers
TOL
$14.1B
| – | – |
-53,400
| Closed | -$1.76M |
|
787
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
TQQQ
$31.5B
| – | – |
-148,800
| Closed | -$1.32M |
|
788
Trex
TREX
$4.49B
| – | – |
-34,736
| Closed | -$1.34M |
|
789
TC Energy
TRP
$71.4B
| – | – |
-6,400
| Closed | -$259K |
|
790
TransUnion
TRU
$15B
| – | – |
-14,180
| Closed | -$1.04M |
|
791
Tesla
TSLA
$1.22T
| – | – |
-75,000
| Closed | -$1.32M |
|
792
Tyson Foods
TSN
$21.5B
| – | – |
-10,288
| Closed | -$612K |
|
793
TTM Technologies
TTMI
$12.8B
| – | – |
-46,888
| Closed | -$746K |
|
794
Titan International
TWI
$512M
| – | – |
-15,784
| Closed | -$117K |
|
795
Texas Instruments
TXN
$254B
| – | – |
-7,070
| Closed | -$759K |
|
796
Textron
TXT
$16.8B
| – | – |
-15,131
| Closed | -$1.08M |
|
|
UCTT
797
Ultra Clean Holdings
UCTT
$3.82B
| – | – |
-14,800
| Closed | -$186K |
|
798
Unifirst Corp
UNF
$5.36B
| – | – |
-2,031
| Closed | -$353K |
|
799
Upland Software
UPLD
$12.3M
| – | – |
-852
| Closed | -$275K |
|
800
United Parcel Service
UPS
$95.8B
| – | – |
-2,700
| Closed | -$315K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 885 positions worth $488M, down 20% from $611M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $46M in Q4 2018, closing 293 positions and reducing 136 holdings. Its most notable exit was Lowe's Companies, an estimated $6.56M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Nike worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2018 buy was Nike: 106,400 shares worth $7.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Microsoft in Q4 2018, an estimated $6.24M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2018 reduction was lululemon athletica, cutting an estimated $6.86M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Lowe's Companies in Q4 2018, selling an estimated $6.56M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $488M portfolio in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 278 new positions and closed 293 in Q4 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 20% quarter-over-quarter to $488M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2018, filed 13 Feb 2019.